Persistent southerly flow and upper-level ridging over the southern Plains are sustaining above-normal overnight temperatures in Austin, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to a low near 77°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light south winds. This pattern, driven by warm, moist Gulf air advection and minimal radiational cooling, supports the market's elevated probability for an 88°F-or-higher minimum while leaving room for modest downward revisions if increased cloud cover or a weak disturbance enhances mixing. Historical September lows average near 70°F, underscoring how the current airmass has shifted the distribution toward the upper bins; traders are weighing the latest model consensus against any late-day convective development that could alter the nocturnal temperature curve before midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Остине 10 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Остине 10 сентября?
88°F или выше 91%
69°F или ниже 79%
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
79%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
40%
88°F или выше
91%
88°F или выше 91%
69°F или ниже 79%
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
$5 Объем
79%
70-71°F
$30 Объем
20%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
22%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
27%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
22%
78-79°F
$0 Объем
22%
80-81°F
$0 Объем
21%
82-83°F
$20 Объем
40%
84-85°F
$5 Объем
40%
86-87°F
$5 Объем
40%
88°F или выше
$0 Объем
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and upper-level ridging over the southern Plains are sustaining above-normal overnight temperatures in Austin, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to a low near 77°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light south winds. This pattern, driven by warm, moist Gulf air advection and minimal radiational cooling, supports the market's elevated probability for an 88°F-or-higher minimum while leaving room for modest downward revisions if increased cloud cover or a weak disturbance enhances mixing. Historical September lows average near 70°F, underscoring how the current airmass has shifted the distribution toward the upper bins; traders are weighing the latest model consensus against any late-day convective development that could alter the nocturnal temperature curve before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$65Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and upper-level ridging over the southern Plains are sustaining above-normal overnight temperatures in Austin, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to a low near 77°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light south winds. This pattern, driven by warm, moist Gulf air advection and minimal radiational cooling, supports the market's elevated probability for an 88°F-or-higher minimum while leaving room for modest downward revisions if increased cloud cover or a weak disturbance enhances mixing. Historical September lows average near 70°F, underscoring how the current airmass has shifted the distribution toward the upper bins; traders are weighing the latest model consensus against any late-day convective development that could alter the nocturnal temperature curve before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$65Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and upper-level ridging over the southern Plains are sustaining above-normal overnight temperatures in Austin, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to a low near 77°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light south winds. This pattern, driven by warm, moist Gulf air advection and minimal radiational cooling, supports the market's elevated probability for an 88°F-or-higher minimum while leaving room for modest downward revisions if increased cloud cover or a weak disturbance enhances mixing. Historical September lows average near 70°F, underscoring how the current airmass has shifted the distribution toward the upper bins; traders are weighing the latest model consensus against any late-day convective development that could alter the nocturnal temperature curve before midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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