Current forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS data, indicate Cape Town’s daily minimum on September 12 will reach approximately 15°C overnight under overcast skies, moderate southeast winds, and high humidity near 80-90%. Multiple sources converge on a low between 14-16°C, with no strong cold front or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings lower. This model consensus underpins the dominant market-implied probabilities for 15°C and 14°C, while the low odds for 13°C or below reflect the absence of unusual synoptic patterns that would produce sharper temperature drops. Updated observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 12 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Кейптауне 12 сентября?
14°C 94%
15°C 50%
12°C или ниже <1%
13°C <1%
$866 Объем
$866 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Да
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C или выше
Нет
14°C 94%
15°C 50%
12°C или ниже <1%
13°C <1%
$866 Объем
$866 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$25 Объем
Нет
13°C
$25 Объем
Нет
14°C
$80 Объем
Нет
15°C
$131 Объем
Да
16°C
$231 Объем
Нет
17°C
$120 Объем
Нет
18°C
$134 Объем
Нет
19°C
$35 Объем
Нет
20°C
$15 Объем
Нет
21°C
$35 Объем
Нет
22°C или выше
$35 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS data, indicate Cape Town’s daily minimum on September 12 will reach approximately 15°C overnight under overcast skies, moderate southeast winds, and high humidity near 80-90%. Multiple sources converge on a low between 14-16°C, with no strong cold front or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings lower. This model consensus underpins the dominant market-implied probabilities for 15°C and 14°C, while the low odds for 13°C or below reflect the absence of unusual synoptic patterns that would produce sharper temperature drops. Updated observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$866Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS data, indicate Cape Town’s daily minimum on September 12 will reach approximately 15°C overnight under overcast skies, moderate southeast winds, and high humidity near 80-90%. Multiple sources converge on a low between 14-16°C, with no strong cold front or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings lower. This model consensus underpins the dominant market-implied probabilities for 15°C and 14°C, while the low odds for 13°C or below reflect the absence of unusual synoptic patterns that would produce sharper temperature drops. Updated observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$866Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Current forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS data, indicate Cape Town’s daily minimum on September 12 will reach approximately 15°C overnight under overcast skies, moderate southeast winds, and high humidity near 80-90%. Multiple sources converge on a low between 14-16°C, with no strong cold front or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push readings lower. This model consensus underpins the dominant market-implied probabilities for 15°C and 14°C, while the low odds for 13°C or below reflect the absence of unusual synoptic patterns that would produce sharper temperature drops. Updated observations through the evening will refine the exact minimum before final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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