Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and regional analyses, indicate peak temperatures in Chongqing on September 8 centering on 36–38°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit mixing and promote surface heating. Historical September baselines average near 28–30°C, but current conditions reflect a late-summer heat anomaly with recent daily maxima of 35–37°C. Ensemble spreads show modest disagreement on exact peak timing and any thin afternoon cloud development that could cap readings at 37°C versus allowing brief 38°C spikes. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with traders weighting official station measurements and model consensus that could shift with the final 24-hour runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 8 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чунцине 8 сентября?
38°C 37%
37°C 36%
36°C 11%
39°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 сент. 2026 г.
32°C или ниже
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
11%
37°C
36%
38°C
37%
39°C
10%
40°C
3%
41°C
2%
42°C или выше
2%
38°C 37%
37°C 36%
36°C 11%
39°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 сент. 2026 г.
32°C или ниже
$1,380 Объем
<1%
33°C
$195 Объем
1%
34°C
$54 Объем
2%
35°C
$27 Объем
4%
36°C
$115 Объем
11%
37°C
$966 Объем
36%
38°C
$529 Объем
37%
39°C
$360 Объем
10%
40°C
$124 Объем
3%
41°C
$195 Объем
2%
42°C или выше
$200 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and regional analyses, indicate peak temperatures in Chongqing on September 8 centering on 36–38°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit mixing and promote surface heating. Historical September baselines average near 28–30°C, but current conditions reflect a late-summer heat anomaly with recent daily maxima of 35–37°C. Ensemble spreads show modest disagreement on exact peak timing and any thin afternoon cloud development that could cap readings at 37°C versus allowing brief 38°C spikes. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with traders weighting official station measurements and model consensus that could shift with the final 24-hour runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$4,145Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and regional analyses, indicate peak temperatures in Chongqing on September 8 centering on 36–38°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit mixing and promote surface heating. Historical September baselines average near 28–30°C, but current conditions reflect a late-summer heat anomaly with recent daily maxima of 35–37°C. Ensemble spreads show modest disagreement on exact peak timing and any thin afternoon cloud development that could cap readings at 37°C versus allowing brief 38°C spikes. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with traders weighting official station measurements and model consensus that could shift with the final 24-hour runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,145Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and regional analyses, indicate peak temperatures in Chongqing on September 8 centering on 36–38°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit mixing and promote surface heating. Historical September baselines average near 28–30°C, but current conditions reflect a late-summer heat anomaly with recent daily maxima of 35–37°C. Ensemble spreads show modest disagreement on exact peak timing and any thin afternoon cloud development that could cap readings at 37°C versus allowing brief 38°C spikes. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with traders weighting official station measurements and model consensus that could shift with the final 24-hour runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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