**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 70s for Houston on September 10, 2026, creating the primary driver of market sentiment.** Forecasts from NWS Houston/Galveston and sources like WeatherBug consistently project a daily low near 78–80°F amid highs in the low 90s, partly cloudy skies, and a 40–50% chance of afternoon/evening thunderstorms. These conditions align with the historical average low of ~74°F for the date but reflect the current warm, humid regime with dew points in the mid-70s. The near-even split between the 71°F-or-below outcome (50%) and 90°F-or-higher (49%) reflects trader uncertainty around factors that could shift the minimum: increased cloud cover or rainfall suppressing overnight cooling versus clearer skies allowing a deeper drop. Mid-range buckets (e.g., 76–77°F or 78–79°F) each sit near 20%, underscoring the tight clustering expected around the forecast low. With resolution just days away, upcoming NWS updates and any late shifts in steering flow or convective timing will be the key catalysts for price movement. Historical records show extremes from 63°F to 99°F, but current atmospheric conditions make such outliers unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Хьюстоне 10 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Хьюстоне 10 сентября?
71°F или ниже 97%
90°F или выше 94%
72–73°F 39%
74-75°F 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
97%
72–73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
39%
90°F или выше
94%
71°F или ниже 97%
90°F или выше 94%
72–73°F 39%
74-75°F 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
$0 Объем
97%
72–73°F
$0 Объем
39%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
39%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
21%
78-79°F
$0 Объем
25%
80-81°F
$0 Объем
24%
82-83°F
$0 Объем
39%
84-85°F
$0 Объем
39%
86-87°F
$0 Объем
39%
88-89°F
$0 Объем
39%
90°F или выше
$0 Объем
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 70s for Houston on September 10, 2026, creating the primary driver of market sentiment.**
Forecasts from NWS Houston/Galveston and sources like WeatherBug consistently project a daily low near 78–80°F amid highs in the low 90s, partly cloudy skies, and a 40–50% chance of afternoon/evening thunderstorms. These conditions align with the historical average low of ~74°F for the date but reflect the current warm, humid regime with dew points in the mid-70s.
The near-even split between the 71°F-or-below outcome (50%) and 90°F-or-higher (49%) reflects trader uncertainty around factors that could shift the minimum: increased cloud cover or rainfall suppressing overnight cooling versus clearer skies allowing a deeper drop. Mid-range buckets (e.g., 76–77°F or 78–79°F) each sit near 20%, underscoring the tight clustering expected around the forecast low.
With resolution just days away, upcoming NWS updates and any late shifts in steering flow or convective timing will be the key catalysts for price movement. Historical records show extremes from 63°F to 99°F, but current atmospheric conditions make such outliers unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 70s for Houston on September 10, 2026, creating the primary driver of market sentiment.**
Forecasts from NWS Houston/Galveston and sources like WeatherBug consistently project a daily low near 78–80°F amid highs in the low 90s, partly cloudy skies, and a 40–50% chance of afternoon/evening thunderstorms. These conditions align with the historical average low of ~74°F for the date but reflect the current warm, humid regime with dew points in the mid-70s.
The near-even split between the 71°F-or-below outcome (50%) and 90°F-or-higher (49%) reflects trader uncertainty around factors that could shift the minimum: increased cloud cover or rainfall suppressing overnight cooling versus clearer skies allowing a deeper drop. Mid-range buckets (e.g., 76–77°F or 78–79°F) each sit near 20%, underscoring the tight clustering expected around the forecast low.
With resolution just days away, upcoming NWS updates and any late shifts in steering flow or convective timing will be the key catalysts for price movement. Historical records show extremes from 63°F to 99°F, but current atmospheric conditions make such outliers unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the upper 70s for Houston on September 10, 2026, creating the primary driver of market sentiment.** Forecasts from NWS Houston/Galveston and sources like WeatherBug consistently project a daily low near 78–80°F amid highs in the low 90s, partly cloudy skies, and a 40–50% chance of afternoon/evening thunderstorms. These conditions align with the historical average low of ~74°F for the date but reflect the current warm, humid regime with dew points in the mid-70s. The near-even split between the 71°F-or-below outcome (50%) and 90°F-or-higher (49%) reflects trader uncertainty around factors that could shift the minimum: increased cloud cover or rainfall suppressing overnight cooling versus clearer skies allowing a deeper drop. Mid-range buckets (e.g., 76–77°F or 78–79°F) each sit near 20%, underscoring the tight clustering expected around the forecast low. With resolution just days away, upcoming NWS updates and any late shifts in steering flow or convective timing will be the key catalysts for price movement. Historical records show extremes from 63°F to 99°F, but current atmospheric conditions make such outliers unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы