Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights an overnight low of 15–16°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 11, driven by a high-pressure ridge extending from northeastern China that promotes clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and enhanced radiative cooling after sunset. Ensemble and deterministic model runs show modest spread around this range, with some guidance favoring a minimum near 17°C if boundary-layer mixing persists longer into the night, while drier air and calm conditions could allow brief dips toward 15°C. These factors explain the market’s clustering on 15–17°C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical early-September climatology (average lows near 18°C) tempered by the current synoptic setup and the narrow resolution thresholds for the daily minimum. Updated KMA briefings and next model cycles tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 11 сентября?
17°C 40%
15°C 25%
16°C 22%
18°C 10%
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
25%
16°C
22%
17°C
37%
18°C
10%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
13%
22°C или выше
<1%
17°C 40%
15°C 25%
16°C 22%
18°C 10%
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
25%
16°C
22%
17°C
37%
18°C
10%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
13%
22°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights an overnight low of 15–16°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 11, driven by a high-pressure ridge extending from northeastern China that promotes clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and enhanced radiative cooling after sunset. Ensemble and deterministic model runs show modest spread around this range, with some guidance favoring a minimum near 17°C if boundary-layer mixing persists longer into the night, while drier air and calm conditions could allow brief dips toward 15°C. These factors explain the market’s clustering on 15–17°C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical early-September climatology (average lows near 18°C) tempered by the current synoptic setup and the narrow resolution thresholds for the daily minimum. Updated KMA briefings and next model cycles tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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