Recent cold air advection across the Sichuan Basin has driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services consistently projecting an overnight low near 18°C on September 10 under persistent cloud cover and scattered rain. Multiple model runs and station guidance converge on minimum temperatures of 16–18°C, reflecting limited radiative cooling and elevated humidity that suppress further drops. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 18°C. Only an unexpected clear-sky window or stronger-than-forecast northerly flow could push readings to 15°C or below, though current observations and guidance make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 10 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 10 сентября?
18°C 98%
14°C или ниже 51%
15°C 48%
17°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
51%
15°C
48%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
98%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
18°C 98%
14°C или ниже 51%
15°C 48%
17°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$35 Объем
51%
15°C
$15 Объем
48%
16°C
$87 Объем
2%
17°C
$129 Объем
3%
18°C
$89 Объем
98%
19°C
$229 Объем
<1%
20°C
$156 Объем
<1%
21°C
$55 Объем
<1%
22°C
$80 Объем
<1%
23°C
$170 Объем
<1%
24°C или выше
$85 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection across the Sichuan Basin has driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services consistently projecting an overnight low near 18°C on September 10 under persistent cloud cover and scattered rain. Multiple model runs and station guidance converge on minimum temperatures of 16–18°C, reflecting limited radiative cooling and elevated humidity that suppress further drops. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 18°C. Only an unexpected clear-sky window or stronger-than-forecast northerly flow could push readings to 15°C or below, though current observations and guidance make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,130Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection across the Sichuan Basin has driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services consistently projecting an overnight low near 18°C on September 10 under persistent cloud cover and scattered rain. Multiple model runs and station guidance converge on minimum temperatures of 16–18°C, reflecting limited radiative cooling and elevated humidity that suppress further drops. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 18°C. Only an unexpected clear-sky window or stronger-than-forecast northerly flow could push readings to 15°C or below, though current observations and guidance make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,130Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air advection across the Sichuan Basin has driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services consistently projecting an overnight low near 18°C on September 10 under persistent cloud cover and scattered rain. Multiple model runs and station guidance converge on minimum temperatures of 16–18°C, reflecting limited radiative cooling and elevated humidity that suppress further drops. This scientific consensus underpins the market’s 96.5% implied probability for 18°C. Only an unexpected clear-sky window or stronger-than-forecast northerly flow could push readings to 15°C or below, though current observations and guidance make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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