Recent AEMET guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF place Madrid’s September 8 maximum near 34–35 °C under clear skies and moderate southwesterly flow, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 35 °C (54 %) and 36 °C (40.5 %). Daytime heating under high pressure, with dew points in the single digits and winds shifting southwest at 5–7 m/s, supports these values, while limited spread in short-range guidance keeps 34 °C and 37 °C probabilities low. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and the stable synoptic pattern is expected to hold through the observation window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 8 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 8 сентября?
35°C 54%
36°C 41%
34°C 8%
37°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 сент. 2026 г.
31°C или ниже
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
8%
35°C
54%
36°C
41%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C или выше
<1%
35°C 54%
36°C 41%
34°C 8%
37°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 сент. 2026 г.
31°C или ниже
$121 Объем
<1%
32°C
$121 Объем
<1%
33°C
$115 Объем
<1%
34°C
$237 Объем
8%
35°C
$369 Объем
54%
36°C
$318 Объем
41%
37°C
$192 Объем
4%
38°C
$171 Объем
<1%
39°C
$126 Объем
<1%
40°C
$300 Объем
<1%
41°C или выше
$135 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent AEMET guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF place Madrid’s September 8 maximum near 34–35 °C under clear skies and moderate southwesterly flow, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 35 °C (54 %) and 36 °C (40.5 %). Daytime heating under high pressure, with dew points in the single digits and winds shifting southwest at 5–7 m/s, supports these values, while limited spread in short-range guidance keeps 34 °C and 37 °C probabilities low. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and the stable synoptic pattern is expected to hold through the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$2,206Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent AEMET guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF place Madrid’s September 8 maximum near 34–35 °C under clear skies and moderate southwesterly flow, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 35 °C (54 %) and 36 °C (40.5 %). Daytime heating under high pressure, with dew points in the single digits and winds shifting southwest at 5–7 m/s, supports these values, while limited spread in short-range guidance keeps 34 °C and 37 °C probabilities low. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and the stable synoptic pattern is expected to hold through the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,206Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent AEMET guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF place Madrid’s September 8 maximum near 34–35 °C under clear skies and moderate southwesterly flow, driving the market’s heavy weighting toward 35 °C (54 %) and 36 °C (40.5 %). Daytime heating under high pressure, with dew points in the single digits and winds shifting southwest at 5–7 m/s, supports these values, while limited spread in short-range guidance keeps 34 °C and 37 °C probabilities low. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, and the stable synoptic pattern is expected to hold through the observation window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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