Forecast models place Madrid's September 6 maximum near 36–37°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm advection from North Africa, with ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing. Historical September 6 averages hover near 29°C at official stations, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the heat dome. Light southerly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies favor strong daytime insolation, yet small shifts in dew points or wind speed can shift the daily high across the narrow 36–37°C threshold that dominates trader positioning. Updated short-range guidance and AEMET observations will further constrain outcomes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 сентября?
37°C 44%
36°C 38%
38°C 10%
35°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
33°C или ниже
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
8%
36°C
38%
37°C
44%
38°C
10%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C или выше
<1%
37°C 44%
36°C 38%
38°C 10%
35°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
33°C или ниже
$460 Объем
<1%
34°C
$293 Объем
1%
35°C
$706 Объем
8%
36°C
$1,262 Объем
38%
37°C
$707 Объем
44%
38°C
$651 Объем
10%
39°C
$350 Объем
2%
40°C
$250 Объем
<1%
41°C
$343 Объем
<1%
42°C
$199 Объем
<1%
43°C или выше
$189 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models place Madrid's September 6 maximum near 36–37°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm advection from North Africa, with ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing. Historical September 6 averages hover near 29°C at official stations, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the heat dome. Light southerly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies favor strong daytime insolation, yet small shifts in dew points or wind speed can shift the daily high across the narrow 36–37°C threshold that dominates trader positioning. Updated short-range guidance and AEMET observations will further constrain outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$5,410Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models place Madrid's September 6 maximum near 36–37°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm advection from North Africa, with ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing. Historical September 6 averages hover near 29°C at official stations, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the heat dome. Light southerly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies favor strong daytime insolation, yet small shifts in dew points or wind speed can shift the daily high across the narrow 36–37°C threshold that dominates trader positioning. Updated short-range guidance and AEMET observations will further constrain outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,410Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models place Madrid's September 6 maximum near 36–37°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm advection from North Africa, with ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact peak timing. Historical September 6 averages hover near 29°C at official stations, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the heat dome. Light southerly winds and clear to partly cloudy skies favor strong daytime insolation, yet small shifts in dew points or wind speed can shift the daily high across the narrow 36–37°C threshold that dominates trader positioning. Updated short-range guidance and AEMET observations will further constrain outcomes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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