Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight easterly winds, high humidity near 80-95%, and scattered thunderstorms as the dominant factors keeping overnight radiative cooling modest, with model consensus pointing to a lowest temperature in the 24-27°C range on September 13. These subtropical late-summer conditions, typical for the region with September climatological minima near 24°C, underpin trader focus on the 21°C-or-below and mid-20s outcomes as leading probabilities. Minor variations in cloud cover or timing of rain could shift the exact minimum, introducing the uncertainty reflected in current market-implied odds ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 13 сентября?
21°C или ниже 100%
22°C 40%
25°C 24%
26°C 22%
21°C или ниже
100%
22°C
40%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
24%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
21°C или ниже 100%
22°C 40%
25°C 24%
26°C 22%
21°C или ниже
100%
22°C
40%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
24%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen highlight easterly winds, high humidity near 80-95%, and scattered thunderstorms as the dominant factors keeping overnight radiative cooling modest, with model consensus pointing to a lowest temperature in the 24-27°C range on September 13. These subtropical late-summer conditions, typical for the region with September climatological minima near 24°C, underpin trader focus on the 21°C-or-below and mid-20s outcomes as leading probabilities. Minor variations in cloud cover or timing of rain could shift the exact minimum, introducing the uncertainty reflected in current market-implied odds ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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