Recent forecasts from sources including YR.no, PredictWind, and WeatherBug indicate minimum temperatures in Shenzhen on September 16 will likely range from 24–26°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where overnight lows typically hover near 24°C amid stable subtropical conditions without significant cold air intrusions or frontal passages. Model consensus supports these values, though slight variations in cloud cover and humidity could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining trader emphasis on the 24–26°C outcomes alongside the outsized weighting on cooler bins amid inherent forecast uncertainty near resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 16 сентября?
21°C или ниже 95%
31°C или выше 47%
23°C 40%
27°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
95%
22°C
19%
23°C
40%
24°C
20%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C или выше
47%
21°C или ниже 95%
31°C или выше 47%
23°C 40%
27°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$0 Объем
95%
22°C
$0 Объем
19%
23°C
$0 Объем
40%
24°C
$0 Объем
20%
25°C
$0 Объем
22%
26°C
$0 Объем
26%
27°C
$0 Объем
40%
28°C
$0 Объем
40%
29°C
$0 Объем
8%
30°C
$0 Объем
19%
31°C или выше
$0 Объем
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including YR.no, PredictWind, and WeatherBug indicate minimum temperatures in Shenzhen on September 16 will likely range from 24–26°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where overnight lows typically hover near 24°C amid stable subtropical conditions without significant cold air intrusions or frontal passages. Model consensus supports these values, though slight variations in cloud cover and humidity could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining trader emphasis on the 24–26°C outcomes alongside the outsized weighting on cooler bins amid inherent forecast uncertainty near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including YR.no, PredictWind, and WeatherBug indicate minimum temperatures in Shenzhen on September 16 will likely range from 24–26°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where overnight lows typically hover near 24°C amid stable subtropical conditions without significant cold air intrusions or frontal passages. Model consensus supports these values, though slight variations in cloud cover and humidity could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining trader emphasis on the 24–26°C outcomes alongside the outsized weighting on cooler bins amid inherent forecast uncertainty near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including YR.no, PredictWind, and WeatherBug indicate minimum temperatures in Shenzhen on September 16 will likely range from 24–26°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where overnight lows typically hover near 24°C amid stable subtropical conditions without significant cold air intrusions or frontal passages. Model consensus supports these values, though slight variations in cloud cover and humidity could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining trader emphasis on the 24–26°C outcomes alongside the outsized weighting on cooler bins amid inherent forecast uncertainty near resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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