Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 15 indicate a likely overnight low near 24–26°C under persistent subtropical moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds, with official guidance from regional models showing highs around 30–32°C and minimal diurnal cooling due to high humidity and cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains balanced across 20°C-or-below, 25°C, and 30°C-or-higher outcomes because ensemble spreads include modest variations in rain timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the minimum by a degree or two. Historical September averages place typical lows at 24–26°C, providing a baseline against which today’s stable pattern shows no strong departure. Key resolution factors include the precise timing of any overnight showers and radiational cooling under partial clearing, with updated model runs expected before dawn.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 15 сентября?
20°C или ниже 56%
30°C или выше 56%
22°C 38%
25°C 29%
20°C или ниже
56%
21°C
14%
22°C
38%
23°C
21%
24°C
25%
25°C
29%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
17%
30°C или выше
56%
20°C или ниже 56%
30°C или выше 56%
22°C 38%
25°C 29%
20°C или ниже
56%
21°C
14%
22°C
38%
23°C
21%
24°C
25%
25°C
29%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
17%
30°C или выше
56%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Shenzhen on September 15 indicate a likely overnight low near 24–26°C under persistent subtropical moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds, with official guidance from regional models showing highs around 30–32°C and minimal diurnal cooling due to high humidity and cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains balanced across 20°C-or-below, 25°C, and 30°C-or-higher outcomes because ensemble spreads include modest variations in rain timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the minimum by a degree or two. Historical September averages place typical lows at 24–26°C, providing a baseline against which today’s stable pattern shows no strong departure. Key resolution factors include the precise timing of any overnight showers and radiational cooling under partial clearing, with updated model runs expected before dawn.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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