Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on September 21 indicate mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 15 mph, supporting highs in the mid-70s to around 80°F under a moderating marine layer. This onshore flow and cloud cover suppress temperatures below seasonal normals near 82–83°F, aligning with model consensus from GFS data and observations at LAX showing similar conditions the prior day. The market's heavy weighting toward 74–77°F outcomes reflects this guidance, with traders incorporating the latest zone forecasts and climatological patterns rather than warmer inland analogs. Upcoming afternoon observations and any rapid clearing could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 21 сентября?
76-77°F 51%
74-75°F 41%
72-73°F 9%
78–79°F 4%
$14,443 Объем
$14,443 Объем
65°F или ниже
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
51%
78–79°F
4%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F или выше
<1%
76-77°F 51%
74-75°F 41%
72-73°F 9%
78–79°F 4%
$14,443 Объем
$14,443 Объем
65°F или ниже
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
51%
78–79°F
4%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on September 21 indicate mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds around 15 mph, supporting highs in the mid-70s to around 80°F under a moderating marine layer. This onshore flow and cloud cover suppress temperatures below seasonal normals near 82–83°F, aligning with model consensus from GFS data and observations at LAX showing similar conditions the prior day. The market's heavy weighting toward 74–77°F outcomes reflects this guidance, with traders incorporating the latest zone forecasts and climatological patterns rather than warmer inland analogs. Upcoming afternoon observations and any rapid clearing could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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