Divergence in numerical weather prediction models on overnight radiational cooling and cloud cover is the main driver behind the near-even market odds between a minimum of 24°C or higher (42%) versus 14°C or below (41%). Recent unusually heavy September rainfall in São Paulo has increased atmospheric moisture, which limits temperature drops under overcast or rainy conditions expected around September 22, while clearer breaks could allow stronger cooling toward or below the 14–16°C historical average minimum for the month. Key variables include steering winds, frontal positioning, and urban heat effects monitored by INMET stations; updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 22 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 22 сентября?
24°C или выше 91%
14°C или ниже 88%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
88%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
23%
18°C
39%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C или выше
91%
24°C или выше 91%
14°C или ниже 88%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$0 Объем
88%
15°C
$0 Объем
40%
16°C
$0 Объем
40%
17°C
$0 Объем
23%
18°C
$0 Объем
39%
19°C
$0 Объем
21%
20°C
$0 Объем
21%
21°C
$0 Объем
39%
22°C
$0 Объем
39%
23°C
$0 Объем
39%
24°C или выше
$0 Объем
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergence in numerical weather prediction models on overnight radiational cooling and cloud cover is the main driver behind the near-even market odds between a minimum of 24°C or higher (42%) versus 14°C or below (41%). Recent unusually heavy September rainfall in São Paulo has increased atmospheric moisture, which limits temperature drops under overcast or rainy conditions expected around September 22, while clearer breaks could allow stronger cooling toward or below the 14–16°C historical average minimum for the month. Key variables include steering winds, frontal positioning, and urban heat effects monitored by INMET stations; updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergence in numerical weather prediction models on overnight radiational cooling and cloud cover is the main driver behind the near-even market odds between a minimum of 24°C or higher (42%) versus 14°C or below (41%). Recent unusually heavy September rainfall in São Paulo has increased atmospheric moisture, which limits temperature drops under overcast or rainy conditions expected around September 22, while clearer breaks could allow stronger cooling toward or below the 14–16°C historical average minimum for the month. Key variables include steering winds, frontal positioning, and urban heat effects monitored by INMET stations; updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Divergence in numerical weather prediction models on overnight radiational cooling and cloud cover is the main driver behind the near-even market odds between a minimum of 24°C or higher (42%) versus 14°C or below (41%). Recent unusually heavy September rainfall in São Paulo has increased atmospheric moisture, which limits temperature drops under overcast or rainy conditions expected around September 22, while clearer breaks could allow stronger cooling toward or below the 14–16°C historical average minimum for the month. Key variables include steering winds, frontal positioning, and urban heat effects monitored by INMET stations; updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds in the coming hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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