**Model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions are positioning 31°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on September 21, 2026, with market-implied odds at 59.5%.** Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based runs and local guidance, indicate a daytime peak of 29–31°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. These factors support typical late-September Mediterranean heating without significant advection of hotter air or cloud cover suppressing temperatures. Recent model agreement has kept probabilities anchored, with 30°C as the next most likely at 23% and lower odds for 32°C or above reflecting modest uncertainty in peak timing and local measurement sites. Official resolution will depend on Israel Meteorological Service data, with no major forecast shifts noted in the latest updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 21 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 21 сентября?
31°C 60%
30°C 24%
27°C или ниже 9.2%
32°C 6.9%
НОВОЕ
$40,324 Объем
НОВОЕ
$40,324 Объем
21 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
9%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
24%
31°C
60%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
31°C 60%
30°C 24%
27°C или ниже 9.2%
32°C 6.9%
НОВОЕ
$40,324 Объем
НОВОЕ
$40,324 Объем
21 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$7,570 Объем
9%
28°C
$3,423 Объем
1%
29°C
$2,922 Объем
2%
30°C
$7,799 Объем
24%
31°C
$8,084 Объем
60%
32°C
$4,748 Объем
7%
33°C
$2,496 Объем
2%
34°C
$661 Объем
<1%
35°C
$1,248 Объем
<1%
36°C
$1,337 Объем
<1%
37°C или выше
$36 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions are positioning 31°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on September 21, 2026, with market-implied odds at 59.5%.** Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based runs and local guidance, indicate a daytime peak of 29–31°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. These factors support typical late-September Mediterranean heating without significant advection of hotter air or cloud cover suppressing temperatures. Recent model agreement has kept probabilities anchored, with 30°C as the next most likely at 23% and lower odds for 32°C or above reflecting modest uncertainty in peak timing and local measurement sites. Official resolution will depend on Israel Meteorological Service data, with no major forecast shifts noted in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$40,324Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions are positioning 31°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on September 21, 2026, with market-implied odds at 59.5%.** Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based runs and local guidance, indicate a daytime peak of 29–31°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. These factors support typical late-September Mediterranean heating without significant advection of hotter air or cloud cover suppressing temperatures. Recent model agreement has kept probabilities anchored, with 30°C as the next most likely at 23% and lower odds for 32°C or above reflecting modest uncertainty in peak timing and local measurement sites. Official resolution will depend on Israel Meteorological Service data, with no major forecast shifts noted in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$40,324Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Model consensus and stable atmospheric conditions are positioning 31°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on September 21, 2026, with market-implied odds at 59.5%.** Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based runs and local guidance, indicate a daytime peak of 29–31°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. These factors support typical late-September Mediterranean heating without significant advection of hotter air or cloud cover suppressing temperatures. Recent model agreement has kept probabilities anchored, with 30°C as the next most likely at 23% and lower odds for 32°C or above reflecting modest uncertainty in peak timing and local measurement sites. Official resolution will depend on Israel Meteorological Service data, with no major forecast shifts noted in the latest updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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