**Forecast consensus from New Zealand MetService and international models (ECMWF, GFS) points to a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 21, 2026, under stable northerly flow with partly cloudy skies and moderate winds.** This aligns with the climatological September average high near 14°C and recent model runs showing limited diurnal warming. Current observations at midday hover around 13–14°C, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings notably higher. The 96.5% market-implied probability for 15°C reflects this tight scientific agreement, while the low odds for 16°C or above acknowledge residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized station readings. Final resolution depends on official end-of-day maximums; a late surge in insolation or model revision could theoretically shift the outcome, though such scenarios appear unlikely given the current data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 21 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 21 сентября?
15°C 98%
16°C 4%
17°C <1%
10°C или ниже <1%
НОВОЕ
$35,030 Объем
НОВОЕ
$35,030 Объем
21 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
98%
16°C
4%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
15°C 98%
16°C 4%
17°C <1%
10°C или ниже <1%
НОВОЕ
$35,030 Объем
НОВОЕ
$35,030 Объем
21 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$1,337 Объем
<1%
11°C
$987 Объем
<1%
12°C
$705 Объем
<1%
13°C
$2,193 Объем
<1%
14°C
$5,746 Объем
<1%
15°C
$10,614 Объем
98%
16°C
$6,583 Объем
4%
17°C
$4,642 Объем
<1%
18°C
$1,423 Объем
<1%
19°C
$338 Объем
<1%
20°C или выше
$462 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from New Zealand MetService and international models (ECMWF, GFS) points to a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 21, 2026, under stable northerly flow with partly cloudy skies and moderate winds.**
This aligns with the climatological September average high near 14°C and recent model runs showing limited diurnal warming. Current observations at midday hover around 13–14°C, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings notably higher. The 96.5% market-implied probability for 15°C reflects this tight scientific agreement, while the low odds for 16°C or above acknowledge residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized station readings. Final resolution depends on official end-of-day maximums; a late surge in insolation or model revision could theoretically shift the outcome, though such scenarios appear unlikely given the current data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$35,030Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from New Zealand MetService and international models (ECMWF, GFS) points to a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 21, 2026, under stable northerly flow with partly cloudy skies and moderate winds.**
This aligns with the climatological September average high near 14°C and recent model runs showing limited diurnal warming. Current observations at midday hover around 13–14°C, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings notably higher. The 96.5% market-implied probability for 15°C reflects this tight scientific agreement, while the low odds for 16°C or above acknowledge residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized station readings. Final resolution depends on official end-of-day maximums; a late surge in insolation or model revision could theoretically shift the outcome, though such scenarios appear unlikely given the current data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$35,030Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from New Zealand MetService and international models (ECMWF, GFS) points to a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 21, 2026, under stable northerly flow with partly cloudy skies and moderate winds.** This aligns with the climatological September average high near 14°C and recent model runs showing limited diurnal warming. Current observations at midday hover around 13–14°C, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings notably higher. The 96.5% market-implied probability for 15°C reflects this tight scientific agreement, while the low odds for 16°C or above acknowledge residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized station readings. Final resolution depends on official end-of-day maximums; a late surge in insolation or model revision could theoretically shift the outcome, though such scenarios appear unlikely given the current data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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