Official forecasts for Los Angeles on September 20 center on highs of 76–78°F, driven by a persistent marine layer producing morning low clouds and fog that limits daytime heating, followed by southwest winds around 10–15 mph under mostly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 76–77°F bin at 60% implied probability and the secondary 74–75°F outcome at 30%, reflecting model consensus from sources such as NWS and GFS runs showing no strong offshore flow or clear-sky amplification. Recent observational data confirm typical September coastal moderation, with no heat-wave signals or anomalous warming trends shifting the outlook. Traders appear to discount the small chance of 78–79°F clearing, consistent with historical patterns where marine influence caps maxima in this range absent Santa Ana conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 20 сентября?
76-77°F 60%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 4%
$16,584 Объем
$16,584 Объем
65°F или ниже
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
60%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F или выше
<1%
76-77°F 60%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 4%
$16,584 Объем
$16,584 Объем
65°F или ниже
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
60%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Los Angeles on September 20 center on highs of 76–78°F, driven by a persistent marine layer producing morning low clouds and fog that limits daytime heating, followed by southwest winds around 10–15 mph under mostly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 76–77°F bin at 60% implied probability and the secondary 74–75°F outcome at 30%, reflecting model consensus from sources such as NWS and GFS runs showing no strong offshore flow or clear-sky amplification. Recent observational data confirm typical September coastal moderation, with no heat-wave signals or anomalous warming trends shifting the outlook. Traders appear to discount the small chance of 78–79°F clearing, consistent with historical patterns where marine influence caps maxima in this range absent Santa Ana conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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