**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds have limited daytime heating across Tokyo on September 19, 2026, anchoring the official maximum near 24°C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple forecast models.** Overcast skies reduced solar insolation throughout the day, while light rain and high humidity further suppressed temperatures below the September climatological average of roughly 26–27°C. Market-implied odds exceeding 98% for 24°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and resolution criteria tied to precise JMA station readings, rather than broader model spreads. A rapid clearing of clouds or stronger southerly flow could push readings to 25–26°C, but current conditions and short-term model consensus make such shifts unlikely before the daily maximum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 19 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 19 сентября?
24°C 99%
25°C 2%
26°C <1%
20°C или ниже <1%
$48,705 Объем
$48,705 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
99%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
24°C 99%
25°C 2%
26°C <1%
20°C или ниже <1%
$48,705 Объем
$48,705 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$2,494 Объем
<1%
21°C
$465 Объем
<1%
22°C
$1,649 Объем
<1%
23°C
$7,933 Объем
<1%
24°C
$16,947 Объем
99%
25°C
$4,813 Объем
2%
26°C
$4,618 Объем
<1%
27°C
$2,348 Объем
<1%
28°C
$2,935 Объем
<1%
29°C
$2,359 Объем
<1%
30°C или выше
$2,143 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds have limited daytime heating across Tokyo on September 19, 2026, anchoring the official maximum near 24°C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple forecast models.** Overcast skies reduced solar insolation throughout the day, while light rain and high humidity further suppressed temperatures below the September climatological average of roughly 26–27°C. Market-implied odds exceeding 98% for 24°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and resolution criteria tied to precise JMA station readings, rather than broader model spreads. A rapid clearing of clouds or stronger southerly flow could push readings to 25–26°C, but current conditions and short-term model consensus make such shifts unlikely before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$48,705Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds have limited daytime heating across Tokyo on September 19, 2026, anchoring the official maximum near 24°C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple forecast models.** Overcast skies reduced solar insolation throughout the day, while light rain and high humidity further suppressed temperatures below the September climatological average of roughly 26–27°C. Market-implied odds exceeding 98% for 24°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and resolution criteria tied to precise JMA station readings, rather than broader model spreads. A rapid clearing of clouds or stronger southerly flow could push readings to 25–26°C, but current conditions and short-term model consensus make such shifts unlikely before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$48,705Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds have limited daytime heating across Tokyo on September 19, 2026, anchoring the official maximum near 24°C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple forecast models.** Overcast skies reduced solar insolation throughout the day, while light rain and high humidity further suppressed temperatures below the September climatological average of roughly 26–27°C. Market-implied odds exceeding 98% for 24°C reflect trader assessment of real-time observational data and resolution criteria tied to precise JMA station readings, rather than broader model spreads. A rapid clearing of clouds or stronger southerly flow could push readings to 25–26°C, but current conditions and short-term model consensus make such shifts unlikely before the daily maximum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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