Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Moscow's September 21 maximum temperature near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow, driving the tight market clustering at those outcomes. Subtle differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, the timing of any breaks in cloud cover, and the precise strength of warm-air advection from the south explain the narrow spread between 20°C and 21°C. Historical September climatology for the city centers around 17–18°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly. Final resolution will hinge on official Roshydromet observations, with the next model update cycles likely to refine the peak by a degree or two.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 21 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 21 сентября?
21°C 38%
20°C 32%
19°C 14%
22°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
14%
20°C
32%
21°C
38%
22°C
10%
23°C или выше
3%
21°C 38%
20°C 32%
19°C 14%
22°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$111 Объем
<1%
14°C
$111 Объем
<1%
15°C
$356 Объем
1%
16°C
$404 Объем
2%
17°C
$108 Объем
3%
18°C
$189 Объем
5%
19°C
$1,539 Объем
14%
20°C
$1,217 Объем
32%
21°C
$286 Объем
38%
22°C
$411 Объем
10%
23°C или выше
$50 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Moscow's September 21 maximum temperature near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow, driving the tight market clustering at those outcomes. Subtle differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, the timing of any breaks in cloud cover, and the precise strength of warm-air advection from the south explain the narrow spread between 20°C and 21°C. Historical September climatology for the city centers around 17–18°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly. Final resolution will hinge on official Roshydromet observations, with the next model update cycles likely to refine the peak by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$4,781Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Moscow's September 21 maximum temperature near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow, driving the tight market clustering at those outcomes. Subtle differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, the timing of any breaks in cloud cover, and the precise strength of warm-air advection from the south explain the narrow spread between 20°C and 21°C. Historical September climatology for the city centers around 17–18°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly. Final resolution will hinge on official Roshydromet observations, with the next model update cycles likely to refine the peak by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,781Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place Moscow's September 21 maximum temperature near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow, driving the tight market clustering at those outcomes. Subtle differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, the timing of any breaks in cloud cover, and the precise strength of warm-air advection from the south explain the narrow spread between 20°C and 21°C. Historical September climatology for the city centers around 17–18°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly. Final resolution will hinge on official Roshydromet observations, with the next model update cycles likely to refine the peak by a degree or two.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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