Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 21 indicate a high near 27–29°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly or northerly winds under 10 km/h, and minimal precipitation risk, reflecting the typical late-September transition in the Sichuan basin as monsoon influences wane. Model consensus from sources like GFS points to moderate humidity (55–70%) and stable pressure limiting daytime heating, with afternoon peaks potentially reaching the upper 20s Celsius if cloud cover thins. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 28–30°C outcomes because subtle differences in steering patterns or insolation could shift the maximum by 1–2°C, while historical September averages near 25–26°C underscore the current slight warmth. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 21 сентября?
28°C 27%
29°C 27%
30°C 21%
27°C 18%
24°C или ниже
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
9%
27°C
18%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
21%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
28°C 27%
29°C 27%
30°C 21%
27°C 18%
24°C или ниже
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
9%
27°C
18%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
21%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 21 indicate a high near 27–29°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly or northerly winds under 10 km/h, and minimal precipitation risk, reflecting the typical late-September transition in the Sichuan basin as monsoon influences wane. Model consensus from sources like GFS points to moderate humidity (55–70%) and stable pressure limiting daytime heating, with afternoon peaks potentially reaching the upper 20s Celsius if cloud cover thins. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 28–30°C outcomes because subtle differences in steering patterns or insolation could shift the maximum by 1–2°C, while historical September averages near 25–26°C underscore the current slight warmth. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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