Recent meteorological observations and model consensus for Chengdu on September 21 point to an overnight low near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin in late September. These conditions suppress radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping further while preventing significant warming. The narrow spread between 20°C and 21°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud persistence and any brief wind shifts that could alter surface heat loss by 1°C. Historical climatology shows September lows averaging near 19–20°C, but current atmospheric stability supports the market’s tight clustering around these two outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the final recorded minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 21 сентября?
16°C или ниже 90%
17°C 90%
18°C 90%
19°C 90%
16°C или ниже
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
90%
19°C
90%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
16°C или ниже 90%
17°C 90%
18°C 90%
19°C 90%
16°C или ниже
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
90%
19°C
90%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and model consensus for Chengdu on September 21 point to an overnight low near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin in late September. These conditions suppress radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping further while preventing significant warming. The narrow spread between 20°C and 21°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud persistence and any brief wind shifts that could alter surface heat loss by 1°C. Historical climatology shows September lows averaging near 19–20°C, but current atmospheric stability supports the market’s tight clustering around these two outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the final recorded minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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