Recent forecasts from major models including ECMWF runs and guidance from European meteorological services point to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, with westerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating after overnight lows near 13°C. This consensus, consistent with the historical average high of roughly 18.9°C for the date, underpins the dominant market-implied probabilities for 19°C and 18°C. Minor model differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce limited upside or downside risk, keeping the distribution tightly clustered while traders weigh the latest high-resolution updates ahead of the day’s peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 18 сентября?
19°C 70%
18°C 24%
20°C 4%
17°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
24%
19°C
70%
20°C
4%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
19°C 70%
18°C 24%
20°C 4%
17°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$149 Объем
<1%
14°C
$149 Объем
<1%
15°C
$229 Объем
<1%
16°C
$154 Объем
<1%
17°C
$571 Объем
3%
18°C
$881 Объем
24%
19°C
$2,114 Объем
70%
20°C
$666 Объем
4%
21°C
$264 Объем
<1%
22°C
$149 Объем
<1%
23°C или выше
$536 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models including ECMWF runs and guidance from European meteorological services point to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, with westerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating after overnight lows near 13°C. This consensus, consistent with the historical average high of roughly 18.9°C for the date, underpins the dominant market-implied probabilities for 19°C and 18°C. Minor model differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce limited upside or downside risk, keeping the distribution tightly clustered while traders weigh the latest high-resolution updates ahead of the day’s peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$5,863Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models including ECMWF runs and guidance from European meteorological services point to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, with westerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating after overnight lows near 13°C. This consensus, consistent with the historical average high of roughly 18.9°C for the date, underpins the dominant market-implied probabilities for 19°C and 18°C. Minor model differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce limited upside or downside risk, keeping the distribution tightly clustered while traders weigh the latest high-resolution updates ahead of the day’s peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,863Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models including ECMWF runs and guidance from European meteorological services point to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, with westerly flow and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating after overnight lows near 13°C. This consensus, consistent with the historical average high of roughly 18.9°C for the date, underpins the dominant market-implied probabilities for 19°C and 18°C. Minor model differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce limited upside or downside risk, keeping the distribution tightly clustered while traders weigh the latest high-resolution updates ahead of the day’s peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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