Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national services indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 18 likely ranging 12–14°C under mild southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with a broader September pattern running 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 11°C, driven by persistent Atlantic air masses rather than cold outbreaks. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact minima, as clearer periods could enhance surface cooling while increased cloud cover or stronger mixing raises values. Traders appear balanced across mid-range outcomes because upcoming model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer conditions and wind speeds critical to the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Амстердаме 18 сентября?
12°C 40%
13°C 30%
11°C 19%
14°C 19%
7°C или ниже
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
11%
11°C
19%
12°C
40%
13°C
30%
14°C
19%
15°C
11%
16°C
7%
17°C или выше
5%
12°C 40%
13°C 30%
11°C 19%
14°C 19%
7°C или ниже
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
11%
11°C
19%
12°C
40%
13°C
30%
14°C
19%
15°C
11%
16°C
7%
17°C или выше
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national services indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 18 likely ranging 12–14°C under mild southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with a broader September pattern running 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 climatological average low near 11°C, driven by persistent Atlantic air masses rather than cold outbreaks. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact minima, as clearer periods could enhance surface cooling while increased cloud cover or stronger mixing raises values. Traders appear balanced across mid-range outcomes because upcoming model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer conditions and wind speeds critical to the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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