**Forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, possible precipitation, and regional air mass shifts is the main driver behind the closely matched 37% odds on both ≤11°C and ≥21°C lows for Ankara on September 16.** Typical mid-September overnight lows in the city range 12–15°C under clear or partly cloudy conditions, with radiative cooling strongest on calm, dry nights. Recent Turkish Meteorological Service guidance indicates scattered showers and thunderstorms possible across central and northern areas on the 16th, which could limit cooling if clouds and moisture arrive overnight or raise temperatures via latent heat. Model consensus shows highs near 23–26°C but diverges on exact minimum timing and wind patterns that would either enhance or suppress the diurnal drop. Historical analogs place the most probable range near 13–14°C, yet the market's balanced extremes reflect traders pricing in the narrow window for resolution and the sensitivity of minimum temperature to small changes in these variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Анкаре 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Анкаре 16 сентября?
11°C или ниже 74%
21°C или выше 74%
16°C 40%
18°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
74%
12°C
23%
13°C
27%
14°C
24%
15°C
38%
16°C
40%
17°C
38%
18°C
40%
19°C
13%
20°C
3%
21°C или выше
74%
11°C или ниже 74%
21°C или выше 74%
16°C 40%
18°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$0 Объем
74%
12°C
$0 Объем
23%
13°C
$0 Объем
27%
14°C
$0 Объем
24%
15°C
$0 Объем
38%
16°C
$0 Объем
40%
17°C
$0 Объем
38%
18°C
$0 Объем
40%
19°C
$0 Объем
13%
20°C
$0 Объем
3%
21°C или выше
$0 Объем
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, possible precipitation, and regional air mass shifts is the main driver behind the closely matched 37% odds on both ≤11°C and ≥21°C lows for Ankara on September 16.**
Typical mid-September overnight lows in the city range 12–15°C under clear or partly cloudy conditions, with radiative cooling strongest on calm, dry nights. Recent Turkish Meteorological Service guidance indicates scattered showers and thunderstorms possible across central and northern areas on the 16th, which could limit cooling if clouds and moisture arrive overnight or raise temperatures via latent heat. Model consensus shows highs near 23–26°C but diverges on exact minimum timing and wind patterns that would either enhance or suppress the diurnal drop. Historical analogs place the most probable range near 13–14°C, yet the market's balanced extremes reflect traders pricing in the narrow window for resolution and the sensitivity of minimum temperature to small changes in these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, possible precipitation, and regional air mass shifts is the main driver behind the closely matched 37% odds on both ≤11°C and ≥21°C lows for Ankara on September 16.**
Typical mid-September overnight lows in the city range 12–15°C under clear or partly cloudy conditions, with radiative cooling strongest on calm, dry nights. Recent Turkish Meteorological Service guidance indicates scattered showers and thunderstorms possible across central and northern areas on the 16th, which could limit cooling if clouds and moisture arrive overnight or raise temperatures via latent heat. Model consensus shows highs near 23–26°C but diverges on exact minimum timing and wind patterns that would either enhance or suppress the diurnal drop. Historical analogs place the most probable range near 13–14°C, yet the market's balanced extremes reflect traders pricing in the narrow window for resolution and the sensitivity of minimum temperature to small changes in these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, possible precipitation, and regional air mass shifts is the main driver behind the closely matched 37% odds on both ≤11°C and ≥21°C lows for Ankara on September 16.** Typical mid-September overnight lows in the city range 12–15°C under clear or partly cloudy conditions, with radiative cooling strongest on calm, dry nights. Recent Turkish Meteorological Service guidance indicates scattered showers and thunderstorms possible across central and northern areas on the 16th, which could limit cooling if clouds and moisture arrive overnight or raise temperatures via latent heat. Model consensus shows highs near 23–26°C but diverges on exact minimum timing and wind patterns that would either enhance or suppress the diurnal drop. Historical analogs place the most probable range near 13–14°C, yet the market's balanced extremes reflect traders pricing in the narrow window for resolution and the sensitivity of minimum temperature to small changes in these variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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