Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 17 hovering near 22–24°C, driven by light easterly winds, elevated humidity from expected morning showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiational cooling overnight. Subtropical conditions in mid-September typically feature these moderating influences, with historical September lows averaging around 21–23°C, while current pressure gradients and moisture advection from the east keep the air mass relatively stable. Model spreads arise mainly from timing of precipitation and exact cloud thickness, creating the tight market split between 22°C and 23°C outcomes as traders weigh the latest ensemble runs ahead of overnight observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 17 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 17 сентября?
23°C 45%
22°C 40%
20°C 9%
21°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
8%
22°C
40%
23°C
45%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C или выше
<1%
23°C 45%
22°C 40%
20°C 9%
21°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$89 Объем
<1%
18°C
$17 Объем
<1%
19°C
$0 Объем
2%
20°C
$250 Объем
9%
21°C
$171 Объем
8%
22°C
$147 Объем
40%
23°C
$979 Объем
45%
24°C
$906 Объем
4%
25°C
$0 Объем
1%
26°C
$64 Объем
1%
27°C или выше
$64 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 17 hovering near 22–24°C, driven by light easterly winds, elevated humidity from expected morning showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiational cooling overnight. Subtropical conditions in mid-September typically feature these moderating influences, with historical September lows averaging around 21–23°C, while current pressure gradients and moisture advection from the east keep the air mass relatively stable. Model spreads arise mainly from timing of precipitation and exact cloud thickness, creating the tight market split between 22°C and 23°C outcomes as traders weigh the latest ensemble runs ahead of overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$2,687Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 17 hovering near 22–24°C, driven by light easterly winds, elevated humidity from expected morning showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiational cooling overnight. Subtropical conditions in mid-September typically feature these moderating influences, with historical September lows averaging around 21–23°C, while current pressure gradients and moisture advection from the east keep the air mass relatively stable. Model spreads arise mainly from timing of precipitation and exact cloud thickness, creating the tight market split between 22°C and 23°C outcomes as traders weigh the latest ensemble runs ahead of overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,687Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 17 hovering near 22–24°C, driven by light easterly winds, elevated humidity from expected morning showers, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiational cooling overnight. Subtropical conditions in mid-September typically feature these moderating influences, with historical September lows averaging around 21–23°C, while current pressure gradients and moisture advection from the east keep the air mass relatively stable. Model spreads arise mainly from timing of precipitation and exact cloud thickness, creating the tight market split between 22°C and 23°C outcomes as traders weigh the latest ensemble runs ahead of overnight observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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