**Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations show the minimum temperature on September 12 reaching 24°C under clear to mostly clear conditions with light easterly winds and high humidity.** This aligns with regional model consensus and aligns with late-summer climatology for the area, where overnight lows typically stabilize in the low-to-mid 20s°C absent strong cold advection. Traders have placed near-certain weight on the 24°C outcome because verified station readings provide definitive resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once the meteorological day closes. Only an unexpected late-night drop below current trends or an official data adjustment would realistically shift the market-implied odds away from this consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 12 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 12 сентября?
24°C 100.0%
23°C 3%
18°C или ниже <1%
19°C <1%
$22,535 Объем
$22,535 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Да
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C или выше
Нет
24°C 100.0%
23°C 3%
18°C или ниже <1%
19°C <1%
$22,535 Объем
$22,535 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$185 Объем
Нет
19°C
$155 Объем
Нет
20°C
$155 Объем
Нет
21°C
$2,075 Объем
Нет
22°C
$2,145 Объем
Нет
23°C
$3,823 Объем
Нет
24°C
$9,681 Объем
Да
25°C
$3,808 Объем
Нет
26°C
$186 Объем
Нет
27°C
$165 Объем
Нет
28°C или выше
$155 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations show the minimum temperature on September 12 reaching 24°C under clear to mostly clear conditions with light easterly winds and high humidity.** This aligns with regional model consensus and aligns with late-summer climatology for the area, where overnight lows typically stabilize in the low-to-mid 20s°C absent strong cold advection. Traders have placed near-certain weight on the 24°C outcome because verified station readings provide definitive resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once the meteorological day closes. Only an unexpected late-night drop below current trends or an official data adjustment would realistically shift the market-implied odds away from this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$22,535Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations show the minimum temperature on September 12 reaching 24°C under clear to mostly clear conditions with light easterly winds and high humidity.** This aligns with regional model consensus and aligns with late-summer climatology for the area, where overnight lows typically stabilize in the low-to-mid 20s°C absent strong cold advection. Traders have placed near-certain weight on the 24°C outcome because verified station readings provide definitive resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once the meteorological day closes. Only an unexpected late-night drop below current trends or an official data adjustment would realistically shift the market-implied odds away from this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$22,535Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations show the minimum temperature on September 12 reaching 24°C under clear to mostly clear conditions with light easterly winds and high humidity.** This aligns with regional model consensus and aligns with late-summer climatology for the area, where overnight lows typically stabilize in the low-to-mid 20s°C absent strong cold advection. Traders have placed near-certain weight on the 24°C outcome because verified station readings provide definitive resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once the meteorological day closes. Only an unexpected late-night drop below current trends or an official data adjustment would realistically shift the market-implied odds away from this consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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