Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 23 most likely between 19–21 °C, with afternoon maxima near 20 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers driven by a southwesterly flow and modest pressure drop. This range aligns with the market’s closely matched implied probabilities for 20 °C and 21 °C, reflecting typical ensemble spread for a two-day forecast in transitional autumn conditions. Historical September averages place daily highs around 18 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation potential that can suppress peak readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether stronger insolation or heavier showers shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 23 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 23 сентября?
20°C 39%
21°C 25%
19°C 21%
18°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
21%
20°C
39%
21°C
25%
22°C
9%
23°C
4%
24°C или выше
2%
20°C 39%
21°C 25%
19°C 21%
18°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
15°C
$5 Объем
2%
16°C
$5 Объем
4%
17°C
$0 Объем
4%
18°C
$0 Объем
10%
19°C
$0 Объем
21%
20°C
$13 Объем
39%
21°C
$0 Объем
25%
22°C
$5 Объем
9%
23°C
$3 Объем
4%
24°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 23 most likely between 19–21 °C, with afternoon maxima near 20 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers driven by a southwesterly flow and modest pressure drop. This range aligns with the market’s closely matched implied probabilities for 20 °C and 21 °C, reflecting typical ensemble spread for a two-day forecast in transitional autumn conditions. Historical September averages place daily highs around 18 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation potential that can suppress peak readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether stronger insolation or heavier showers shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$31Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 23 most likely between 19–21 °C, with afternoon maxima near 20 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers driven by a southwesterly flow and modest pressure drop. This range aligns with the market’s closely matched implied probabilities for 20 °C and 21 °C, reflecting typical ensemble spread for a two-day forecast in transitional autumn conditions. Historical September averages place daily highs around 18 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation potential that can suppress peak readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether stronger insolation or heavier showers shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$31Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 23 most likely between 19–21 °C, with afternoon maxima near 20 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers driven by a southwesterly flow and modest pressure drop. This range aligns with the market’s closely matched implied probabilities for 20 °C and 21 °C, reflecting typical ensemble spread for a two-day forecast in transitional autumn conditions. Historical September averages place daily highs around 18 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation potential that can suppress peak readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether stronger insolation or heavier showers shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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