Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a high near 30°C in Qingdao on September 23 under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, supporting the market's 53.5% implied probability for exactly that outcome. Southerly winds are expected to limit overnight cooling after highs in the upper 20s on the 21st and 22nd, while modest insolation and stable high pressure maintain warmth before a weak front and increasing clouds arrive. The 25% odds on 31°C or higher align with scenarios of stronger advection or reduced cloud cover, whereas the 19% on 29°C reflects potential for more mixing or earlier marine influence. Short-range model spreads and typical verification errors in coastal boundary-layer temperatures explain the dispersion across nearby bins. Updated CMA and global ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will be key for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Циндао 23 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Циндао 23 сентября?
30°C 54%
31°C или выше 25%
29°C 19%
27°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
19%
30°C
54%
31°C или выше
25%
30°C 54%
31°C или выше 25%
29°C 19%
27°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$54 Объем
1%
22°C
$40 Объем
<1%
23°C
$20 Объем
<1%
24°C
$5 Объем
2%
25°C
$10 Объем
2%
26°C
$10 Объем
3%
27°C
$34 Объем
5%
28°C
$109 Объем
5%
29°C
$69 Объем
19%
30°C
$234 Объем
54%
31°C или выше
$41 Объем
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a high near 30°C in Qingdao on September 23 under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, supporting the market's 53.5% implied probability for exactly that outcome. Southerly winds are expected to limit overnight cooling after highs in the upper 20s on the 21st and 22nd, while modest insolation and stable high pressure maintain warmth before a weak front and increasing clouds arrive. The 25% odds on 31°C or higher align with scenarios of stronger advection or reduced cloud cover, whereas the 19% on 29°C reflects potential for more mixing or earlier marine influence. Short-range model spreads and typical verification errors in coastal boundary-layer temperatures explain the dispersion across nearby bins. Updated CMA and global ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will be key for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$626Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a high near 30°C in Qingdao on September 23 under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, supporting the market's 53.5% implied probability for exactly that outcome. Southerly winds are expected to limit overnight cooling after highs in the upper 20s on the 21st and 22nd, while modest insolation and stable high pressure maintain warmth before a weak front and increasing clouds arrive. The 25% odds on 31°C or higher align with scenarios of stronger advection or reduced cloud cover, whereas the 19% on 29°C reflects potential for more mixing or earlier marine influence. Short-range model spreads and typical verification errors in coastal boundary-layer temperatures explain the dispersion across nearby bins. Updated CMA and global ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will be key for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$626Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a high near 30°C in Qingdao on September 23 under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, supporting the market's 53.5% implied probability for exactly that outcome. Southerly winds are expected to limit overnight cooling after highs in the upper 20s on the 21st and 22nd, while modest insolation and stable high pressure maintain warmth before a weak front and increasing clouds arrive. The 25% odds on 31°C or higher align with scenarios of stronger advection or reduced cloud cover, whereas the 19% on 29°C reflects potential for more mixing or earlier marine influence. Short-range model spreads and typical verification errors in coastal boundary-layer temperatures explain the dispersion across nearby bins. Updated CMA and global ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will be key for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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