The elevated trader consensus favoring "No" on Nicolás Maduro being found guilty of all counts stems primarily from his ongoing pretrial status in the Southern District of New York following his January 2026 capture and March arraignment, where he and his wife entered not guilty pleas to narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges. With no trial date set beyond a June 30 hearing and the rarely tested statute yielding few convictions historically—many overturned over witness credibility issues—prosecutors confront significant evidentiary and procedural barriers. Recent resolutions allowing Venezuelan government funding for his defense and new witness protections have not altered the outlook, as analysts note risks of plea deals, partial acquittals, or suppression motions that could prevent unanimous guilty findings across all counts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$102,590 Объем
$102,590 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Да
$102,590 Объем
$102,590 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The elevated trader consensus favoring "No" on Nicolás Maduro being found guilty of all counts stems primarily from his ongoing pretrial status in the Southern District of New York following his January 2026 capture and March arraignment, where he and his wife entered not guilty pleas to narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges. With no trial date set beyond a June 30 hearing and the rarely tested statute yielding few convictions historically—many overturned over witness credibility issues—prosecutors confront significant evidentiary and procedural barriers. Recent resolutions allowing Venezuelan government funding for his defense and new witness protections have not altered the outlook, as analysts note risks of plea deals, partial acquittals, or suppression motions that could prevent unanimous guilty findings across all counts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Объем
$102,590Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The elevated trader consensus favoring "No" on Nicolás Maduro being found guilty of all counts stems primarily from his ongoing pretrial status in the Southern District of New York following his January 2026 capture and March arraignment, where he and his wife entered not guilty pleas to narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges. With no trial date set beyond a June 30 hearing and the rarely tested statute yielding few convictions historically—many overturned over witness credibility issues—prosecutors confront significant evidentiary and procedural barriers. Recent resolutions allowing Venezuelan government funding for his defense and new witness protections have not altered the outlook, as analysts note risks of plea deals, partial acquittals, or suppression motions that could prevent unanimous guilty findings across all counts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$102,590Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The elevated trader consensus favoring "No" on Nicolás Maduro being found guilty of all counts stems primarily from his ongoing pretrial status in the Southern District of New York following his January 2026 capture and March arraignment, where he and his wife entered not guilty pleas to narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges. With no trial date set beyond a June 30 hearing and the rarely tested statute yielding few convictions historically—many overturned over witness credibility issues—prosecutors confront significant evidentiary and procedural barriers. Recent resolutions allowing Venezuelan government funding for his defense and new witness protections have not altered the outlook, as analysts note risks of plea deals, partial acquittals, or suppression motions that could prevent unanimous guilty findings across all counts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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