The market for the relevant Mega Charizard X ex variant (likely the Phantasmal Flames Ultra Rare around the $32–$34 range) sits at an even 50% implied probability for closing over $34.11 by September 30 because recent raw sales have hovered near that level with balanced supply and steady collector demand. Broader Pokémon TCG market data shows modest gains in the overall index through late August 2026, supported by Charizard’s enduring popularity and lingering interest in Mega Evolution chase cards from the 2025 set, yet no fresh hype or major new releases have shifted momentum decisively. Key swing factors include September sales velocity on TCGplayer and eBay, any late-month sealed product restocks that could increase raw supply, and broader hobby liquidity trends tied to upcoming fall releases or collector events that might either reinforce floor support or trigger a quick correction.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMega Charizard X ex Price Up/Down 30 сентября?
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This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $34.11.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $34.11.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://app.getcollectr.com/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $34.11.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $34.11.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Источник определения исхода
https://app.getcollectr.com/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The market for the relevant Mega Charizard X ex variant (likely the Phantasmal Flames Ultra Rare around the $32–$34 range) sits at an even 50% implied probability for closing over $34.11 by September 30 because recent raw sales have hovered near that level with balanced supply and steady collector demand. Broader Pokémon TCG market data shows modest gains in the overall index through late August 2026, supported by Charizard’s enduring popularity and lingering interest in Mega Evolution chase cards from the 2025 set, yet no fresh hype or major new releases have shifted momentum decisively. Key swing factors include September sales velocity on TCGplayer and eBay, any late-month sealed product restocks that could increase raw supply, and broader hobby liquidity trends tied to upcoming fall releases or collector events that might either reinforce floor support or trigger a quick correction.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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