Trader consensus favors "Michael" grossing over $25 million in its 4th domestic weekend (68% implied probability), propelled by exceptional legs following a modest 30% drop to $37.9 million in week 3 from 3,550 theaters, building a $242 million cume and surpassing $500 million worldwide. Strong midweek holds—including $4.7 million on Tuesday—signal sustained audience enthusiasm via word-of-mouth, outpacing critical pans and mirroring top biopic multipliers like Bohemian Rhapsody. The 22-25 million band (30%) reflects caution amid competition from Devil Wears Prada 2 holdovers, with Friday tracking and Sunday estimates poised to refine projections before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБокс-офис 4-го уикенда «Майкл»
Бокс-офис 4-го уикенда «Майкл»
>25 млн 68%
22-25 млн 30%
19-22 млн 4%
<19 млн <1%
<19 млн
1%
19-22 млн
4%
22-25 млн
30%
>25 млн
68%
>25 млн 68%
22-25 млн 30%
19-22 млн 4%
<19 млн <1%
<19 млн
1%
19-22 млн
4%
22-25 млн
30%
>25 млн
68%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors "Michael" grossing over $25 million in its 4th domestic weekend (68% implied probability), propelled by exceptional legs following a modest 30% drop to $37.9 million in week 3 from 3,550 theaters, building a $242 million cume and surpassing $500 million worldwide. Strong midweek holds—including $4.7 million on Tuesday—signal sustained audience enthusiasm via word-of-mouth, outpacing critical pans and mirroring top biopic multipliers like Bohemian Rhapsody. The 22-25 million band (30%) reflects caution amid competition from Devil Wears Prada 2 holdovers, with Friday tracking and Sunday estimates poised to refine projections before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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