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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 97.9%

Henry Cavill <1%

Callum Turner <1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1%

Polymarket

$3,284,261 Объем

No Bond chosen 97.9%

Henry Cavill <1%

Callum Turner <1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1%

Polymarket

$3,284,261 Объем

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$396,407 Объем

98%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$474,057 Объем

<1%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$175,117 Объем

<1%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$181,548 Объем

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$197,752 Объем

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$275,645 Объем

<1%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$297,533 Объем

<1%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$235,713 Объем

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$145,154 Объем

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$254,723 Объем

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$271,535 Объем

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$160,928 Объем

<1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$73,873 Объем

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$70,243 Объем

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$74,034 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The dominant 94% market-implied probability that no actor has been chosen stems from the early phase of the official casting search for the next James Bond. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed in mid-May that auditions began weeks earlier, enlisting veteran casting director Nina Gold to identify candidates for the role ahead of Bond 26, directed by Denis Villeneuve. While names such as Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Harris Dickinson generate ongoing speculation and betting interest, the studio has signaled it will share updates only when ready, with no announcements or commitments reported through mid-June. A swift resolution could occur if producers accelerate toward a preferred actor with multi-film availability, though the process typically unfolds over many months.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,284,261
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The dominant 94% market-implied probability that no actor has been chosen stems from the early phase of the official casting search for the next James Bond. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed in mid-May that auditions began weeks earlier, enlisting veteran casting director Nina Gold to identify candidates for the role ahead of Bond 26, directed by Denis Villeneuve. While names such as Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Harris Dickinson generate ongoing speculation and betting interest, the studio has signaled it will share updates only when ready, with no announcements or commitments reported through mid-June. A swift resolution could occur if producers accelerate toward a preferred actor with multi-film availability, though the process typically unfolds over many months.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,284,261
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next James Bond actor?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 15 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «No Bond chosen» с 98%, за ним следует «Henry Cavill» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 98¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next James Bond actor?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $3.3 million с момента запуска рынка Aug 4, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next James Bond actor?», просмотри 15 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next James Bond actor?» — «No Bond chosen» с 98%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Henry Cavill» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next James Bond actor?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.