The NDA coalition government led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi maintains a stable majority in the Lok Sabha, with no recent no-confidence motions or snap election signals as of mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 89.6% for "No" on Modi exiting office by year-end. BJP's strong performance in April 2026 state assembly elections, including gains in West Bengal that ousted key opposition strongholds, has bolstered perceptions of national dominance despite a narrow 2024 mandate. A defeated Constitution Amendment Bill earlier in April marked a rare legislative setback but failed to trigger coalition fractures among allies like TDP and JD(U). With the full term extending to 2029 and no major disruptions, traders see limited paths to an early leadership change barring unforeseen scandals or economic shocks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМоди выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Моди выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Да
$32,087 Объем
$32,087 Объем
Да
$32,087 Объем
$32,087 Объем
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The NDA coalition government led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi maintains a stable majority in the Lok Sabha, with no recent no-confidence motions or snap election signals as of mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 89.6% for "No" on Modi exiting office by year-end. BJP's strong performance in April 2026 state assembly elections, including gains in West Bengal that ousted key opposition strongholds, has bolstered perceptions of national dominance despite a narrow 2024 mandate. A defeated Constitution Amendment Bill earlier in April marked a rare legislative setback but failed to trigger coalition fractures among allies like TDP and JD(U). With the full term extending to 2029 and no major disruptions, traders see limited paths to an early leadership change barring unforeseen scandals or economic shocks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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