Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as India's prime minister in mid-2026, with his third term extending through the 2029 general election. Traders assign a 92.5% implied probability to the "No" outcome on removal by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any constitutional trigger, successful no-confidence motion, or coalition fracture within the NDA government. Recent state election gains by the BJP in 2026 have reinforced parliamentary stability, while Modi continues routine governance functions, including the August 15 Independence Day address outlining long-term policy priorities. Youth-led protests over exam irregularities earlier in the year drew opposition support but produced no institutional challenge to his leadership. Historical patterns of Indian prime ministerial tenure and the lack of scheduled early elections or health-related announcements further anchor the current market consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМоди выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Моди выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Да
7% вероятность
$244,361 Объем
$244,361 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
7% вероятность
$244,361 Объем
$244,361 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as India's prime minister in mid-2026, with his third term extending through the 2029 general election. Traders assign a 92.5% implied probability to the "No" outcome on removal by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any constitutional trigger, successful no-confidence motion, or coalition fracture within the NDA government. Recent state election gains by the BJP in 2026 have reinforced parliamentary stability, while Modi continues routine governance functions, including the August 15 Independence Day address outlining long-term policy priorities. Youth-led protests over exam irregularities earlier in the year drew opposition support but produced no institutional challenge to his leadership. Historical patterns of Indian prime ministerial tenure and the lack of scheduled early elections or health-related announcements further anchor the current market consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Объем
$244,361Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as India's prime minister in mid-2026, with his third term extending through the 2029 general election. Traders assign a 92.5% implied probability to the "No" outcome on removal by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any constitutional trigger, successful no-confidence motion, or coalition fracture within the NDA government. Recent state election gains by the BJP in 2026 have reinforced parliamentary stability, while Modi continues routine governance functions, including the August 15 Independence Day address outlining long-term policy priorities. Youth-led protests over exam irregularities earlier in the year drew opposition support but produced no institutional challenge to his leadership. Historical patterns of Indian prime ministerial tenure and the lack of scheduled early elections or health-related announcements further anchor the current market consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$244,361Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as India's prime minister in mid-2026, with his third term extending through the 2029 general election. Traders assign a 92.5% implied probability to the "No" outcome on removal by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of any constitutional trigger, successful no-confidence motion, or coalition fracture within the NDA government. Recent state election gains by the BJP in 2026 have reinforced parliamentary stability, while Modi continues routine governance functions, including the August 15 Independence Day address outlining long-term policy priorities. Youth-led protests over exam irregularities earlier in the year drew opposition support but produced no institutional challenge to his leadership. Historical patterns of Indian prime ministerial tenure and the lack of scheduled early elections or health-related announcements further anchor the current market consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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