Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes, has remained out of public view for over two months amid unconfirmed reports of injuries from the same strikes, including a fractured foot and facial wounds. State media has issued statements in his name, attributing decisions to him remotely, while officials deny rumors of incapacity or relocation to Russia for treatment. Recent failed US-Iran talks in Islamabad and expert assessments of regime fragility, including potential IRGC hardliner dominance, heighten uncertainty over his leadership amid ceasefire extensions and Strait of Hormuz tensions. Traders watch for diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations that could prompt exile.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,120,552 Объем
31 мая
1%
30 июня
4%
$1,120,552 Объем
31 мая
1%
30 июня
4%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes, has remained out of public view for over two months amid unconfirmed reports of injuries from the same strikes, including a fractured foot and facial wounds. State media has issued statements in his name, attributing decisions to him remotely, while officials deny rumors of incapacity or relocation to Russia for treatment. Recent failed US-Iran talks in Islamabad and expert assessments of regime fragility, including potential IRGC hardliner dominance, heighten uncertainty over his leadership amid ceasefire extensions and Strait of Hormuz tensions. Traders watch for diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations that could prompt exile.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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