Current genomic surveillance from the CDC and WHO indicates that SARS-CoV-2 continues to circulate as endemic Omicron subvariants such as BA.3.2, with detections rising modestly in early 2026 but remaining at low prevalence levels (under 1% in U.S. sequences) and without evidence of enhanced transmissibility or severity that would meet pandemic criteria. Global monitoring networks track these lineages through wastewater sampling and traveler-based sequencing, showing no novel zoonotic coronavirus emergence or exponential case growth. Historical patterns of post-2020 endemicity, combined with sustained public health infrastructure, underpin the 94.7% market-implied probability of no new coronavirus pandemic this year. Realistic shifts could arise from an undetected high-impact mutation or rare spillover event, though upcoming variant assessments in coming months would likely flag such developments early.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНовая пандемия коронавируса в 2026 году?
Да
$13,708 Объем
$13,708 Объем
Да
$13,708 Объем
$13,708 Объем
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current genomic surveillance from the CDC and WHO indicates that SARS-CoV-2 continues to circulate as endemic Omicron subvariants such as BA.3.2, with detections rising modestly in early 2026 but remaining at low prevalence levels (under 1% in U.S. sequences) and without evidence of enhanced transmissibility or severity that would meet pandemic criteria. Global monitoring networks track these lineages through wastewater sampling and traveler-based sequencing, showing no novel zoonotic coronavirus emergence or exponential case growth. Historical patterns of post-2020 endemicity, combined with sustained public health infrastructure, underpin the 94.7% market-implied probability of no new coronavirus pandemic this year. Realistic shifts could arise from an undetected high-impact mutation or rare spillover event, though upcoming variant assessments in coming months would likely flag such developments early.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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