Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Fable line drives current trader focus, with the September 1 release of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 delivering improved agentic coding performance at roughly half the effective cost of Fable 5 through discounted cache reads and refined safeguards. The June 9 debut of Fable 5 established the Mythos-class baseline before a short-lived U.S. export restriction temporarily boosted open-weight alternatives such as Z.ai’s GLM-5.2, which briefly led select design and reasoning benchmarks. Competitive pressure from Chinese labs and the pace of Anthropic’s internal updates—now addressing long-horizon tasks, natural writing style, and enterprise pricing—shape expectations for a 5.2+ model, with upcoming developer conferences and benchmark releases likely to influence release timelines and market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующая модель Fable (5.2+) выпущена...?
Следующая модель Fable (5.2+) выпущена...?
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
31 октября
23%
31 декабря
60%
$105 Объем
31 октября
$105 Объем
23%
31 декабря
$0 Объем
60%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Fable line drives current trader focus, with the September 1 release of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 delivering improved agentic coding performance at roughly half the effective cost of Fable 5 through discounted cache reads and refined safeguards. The June 9 debut of Fable 5 established the Mythos-class baseline before a short-lived U.S. export restriction temporarily boosted open-weight alternatives such as Z.ai’s GLM-5.2, which briefly led select design and reasoning benchmarks. Competitive pressure from Chinese labs and the pace of Anthropic’s internal updates—now addressing long-horizon tasks, natural writing style, and enterprise pricing—shape expectations for a 5.2+ model, with upcoming developer conferences and benchmark releases likely to influence release timelines and market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Объем
$105Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Fable line drives current trader focus, with the September 1 release of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 delivering improved agentic coding performance at roughly half the effective cost of Fable 5 through discounted cache reads and refined safeguards. The June 9 debut of Fable 5 established the Mythos-class baseline before a short-lived U.S. export restriction temporarily boosted open-weight alternatives such as Z.ai’s GLM-5.2, which briefly led select design and reasoning benchmarks. Competitive pressure from Chinese labs and the pace of Anthropic’s internal updates—now addressing long-horizon tasks, natural writing style, and enterprise pricing—shape expectations for a 5.2+ model, with upcoming developer conferences and benchmark releases likely to influence release timelines and market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$105Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Fable line drives current trader focus, with the September 1 release of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 delivering improved agentic coding performance at roughly half the effective cost of Fable 5 through discounted cache reads and refined safeguards. The June 9 debut of Fable 5 established the Mythos-class baseline before a short-lived U.S. export restriction temporarily boosted open-weight alternatives such as Z.ai’s GLM-5.2, which briefly led select design and reasoning benchmarks. Competitive pressure from Chinese labs and the pace of Anthropic’s internal updates—now addressing long-horizon tasks, natural writing style, and enterprise pricing—shape expectations for a 5.2+ model, with upcoming developer conferences and benchmark releases likely to influence release timelines and market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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