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Politics·French Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politics·French Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$23,309 Объем

30 апр. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$23,309 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$3,570 Объем

73%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$375 Объем

44%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$784 Объем

39%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$95 Объем

30%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,022 Объем

18%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Объем

21%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$348 Объем

19%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$200 Объем

13%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$494 Объем

12%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$129 Объем

11%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$55 Объем

10%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$102 Объем

10%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$428 Объем

10%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,059 Объем

9%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 Объем

14%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 Объем

8%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$66 Объем

6%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$136 Объем

6%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 Объем

23%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$61 Объем

5%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$460 Объем

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$892 Объем

4%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$1,047 Объем

4%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$1,148 Объем

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$929 Объем

3%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$126 Объем

3%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$988 Объем

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,849 Объем

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 Объем

3%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,690 Объем

2%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$551 Объем

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,520 Объем

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$973 Объем

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$668 Объем

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,082 Объем

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 Объем

27%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Объем
$23,309
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Объем
$23,309
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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«Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 36 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Jordan Bardella» с 73%, за ним следует «Édouard Philippe» с 44%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 73¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 73%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $23.3K с момента запуска рынка Jun 1, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?», просмотри 36 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — «Jordan Bardella» с 73%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 73%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Édouard Philippe» с 44%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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