Netflix shares closed near $78 on September 4 after a 5% session decline, positioning the $70–$80 range as the clear market favorite for the week of September 7 with 69.5% implied probability. Persistent pressure from decelerating revenue growth guidance—narrowed to 13–14% for full-year 2026 after Q2 results—combined with elevated Treasury yields weighing on growth names, has kept the stock range-bound well below analyst consensus targets averaging $92–$97. Solid Q2 metrics, including 13% revenue growth to $12.56 billion and a record $4.7 billion buyback, alongside ad-tier momentum toward $3 billion in 2026 revenue, provide support but have not yet reversed sentiment following earlier M&A overhang and engagement-report changes. With no major catalysts until the October 20 earnings release, trader positioning reflects expectations of continued consolidation around current levels amid broader macro sensitivity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$70–$80 71%
$30–$40 41%
$60-$70 37%
$80-$90 27%
Менее $30
1%
$30–$40
41%
$40–$50
1%
$50-$60
25%
$60-$70
37%
$70–$80
71%
$80-$90
27%
$90-$100
6%
$100-$110
6%
$110-$120
25%
>$120
1%
$70–$80 71%
$30–$40 41%
$60-$70 37%
$80-$90 27%
Менее $30
1%
$30–$40
41%
$40–$50
1%
$50-$60
25%
$60-$70
37%
$70–$80
71%
$80-$90
27%
$90-$100
6%
$100-$110
6%
$110-$120
25%
>$120
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
Источник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Netflix shares closed near $78 on September 4 after a 5% session decline, positioning the $70–$80 range as the clear market favorite for the week of September 7 with 69.5% implied probability. Persistent pressure from decelerating revenue growth guidance—narrowed to 13–14% for full-year 2026 after Q2 results—combined with elevated Treasury yields weighing on growth names, has kept the stock range-bound well below analyst consensus targets averaging $92–$97. Solid Q2 metrics, including 13% revenue growth to $12.56 billion and a record $4.7 billion buyback, alongside ad-tier momentum toward $3 billion in 2026 revenue, provide support but have not yet reversed sentiment following earlier M&A overhang and engagement-report changes. With no major catalysts until the October 20 earnings release, trader positioning reflects expectations of continued consolidation around current levels amid broader macro sensitivity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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