With the 2027 Oscars race still in its earliest stages, trader sentiment for Best Original Screenplay remains highly fragmented, as evidenced by the market's 50% implied probability on "Other" alongside Wild Horse Nine at 37.5% and the rest of the field below 9%. Most 2026 titles have yet to screen or release, leaving the category wide open without guild precursors or critics' awards to shape momentum. Wild Horse Nine draws the strongest early narrative from awards pundits due to its anticipated cast and auteur pedigree, while films like Digger, Josephine, and Fjord appear in mid-year forecasts based on festival positioning and director track records. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and year-end reviews that could consolidate support or reveal late surprises in a historically unpredictable category.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 38%
Digger 10%
Josephine 8%
Fjord 8%
Wild Horse Nine
38%
Digger
10%
Josephine
8%
Fjord
8%
The Invite
7%
Obsession
7%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
7%
The Drama
7%
The Odyssey
5%
A Place in Hell
4%
Club Kid
3%
Fatherland
3%
Elsinore
3%
The Debut
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
2%
Forgotten Island
2%
The Black Ball
2%
Wild Horse Nine 38%
Digger 10%
Josephine 8%
Fjord 8%
Wild Horse Nine
38%
Digger
10%
Josephine
8%
Fjord
8%
The Invite
7%
Obsession
7%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
7%
The Drama
7%
The Odyssey
5%
A Place in Hell
4%
Club Kid
3%
Fatherland
3%
Elsinore
3%
The Debut
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
2%
Forgotten Island
2%
The Black Ball
2%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars race still in its earliest stages, trader sentiment for Best Original Screenplay remains highly fragmented, as evidenced by the market's 50% implied probability on "Other" alongside Wild Horse Nine at 37.5% and the rest of the field below 9%. Most 2026 titles have yet to screen or release, leaving the category wide open without guild precursors or critics' awards to shape momentum. Wild Horse Nine draws the strongest early narrative from awards pundits due to its anticipated cast and auteur pedigree, while films like Digger, Josephine, and Fjord appear in mid-year forecasts based on festival positioning and director track records. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and year-end reviews that could consolidate support or reveal late surprises in a historically unpredictable category.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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