Trader consensus heavily favors "No" on the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay at 81% implied probability, driven by the collapse of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire from May 9-11, marred by mutual violation accusations and followed by Russia's massive drone and missile barrages on Kyiv and western Ukraine as recently as May 14. The Kremlin's insistence on Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas as a precondition for any further talks echoes a stalled offensive strategy, while intensified Russian strikes signal no momentum shift toward de-escalation. Ukraine's defensive resilience amid these assaults underscores the matchup's entrenched dynamics, with no confirmed diplomatic breakthroughs in the past 48 hours to alter the lopsided trader sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$468,572 Объем
$468,572 Объем
Да
$468,572 Объем
$468,572 Объем
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Открытие рынка: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" on the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay at 81% implied probability, driven by the collapse of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire from May 9-11, marred by mutual violation accusations and followed by Russia's massive drone and missile barrages on Kyiv and western Ukraine as recently as May 14. The Kremlin's insistence on Ukrainian withdrawal from Donbas as a precondition for any further talks echoes a stalled offensive strategy, while intensified Russian strikes signal no momentum shift toward de-escalation. Ukraine's defensive resilience amid these assaults underscores the matchup's entrenched dynamics, with no confirmed diplomatic breakthroughs in the past 48 hours to alter the lopsided trader sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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