Recent stalled bilateral negotiations and the collapse of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire on May 9-11, 2026, amid mutual violation claims and renewed exchanges of fire have sharply reduced prospects for a Ukrainian peace referendum before 2027. President Zelenskyy has reiterated that any deal requires a prior ceasefire plus security guarantees, with elections or a referendum possible only afterward, while Russia continues to demand territorial concessions including remaining Donbas areas. February planning under external pressure for a May vote alongside presidential elections produced no announcements or framework agreement. Over 50 Ukrainian civil society groups oppose endorsing any Russia-linked deal, and a March poll indicated only conditional public backing without a scheduled vote. These barriers sustain trader expectations that no referendum will occur by the end of 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРеферендум о мире в Украине прошел до 2027 года?
Референдум о мире в Украине прошел до 2027 года?
Да
$14,728 Объем
$14,728 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$14,728 Объем
$14,728 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent stalled bilateral negotiations and the collapse of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire on May 9-11, 2026, amid mutual violation claims and renewed exchanges of fire have sharply reduced prospects for a Ukrainian peace referendum before 2027. President Zelenskyy has reiterated that any deal requires a prior ceasefire plus security guarantees, with elections or a referendum possible only afterward, while Russia continues to demand territorial concessions including remaining Donbas areas. February planning under external pressure for a May vote alongside presidential elections produced no announcements or framework agreement. Over 50 Ukrainian civil society groups oppose endorsing any Russia-linked deal, and a March poll indicated only conditional public backing without a scheduled vote. These barriers sustain trader expectations that no referendum will occur by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Объем
$14,728Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent stalled bilateral negotiations and the collapse of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire on May 9-11, 2026, amid mutual violation claims and renewed exchanges of fire have sharply reduced prospects for a Ukrainian peace referendum before 2027. President Zelenskyy has reiterated that any deal requires a prior ceasefire plus security guarantees, with elections or a referendum possible only afterward, while Russia continues to demand territorial concessions including remaining Donbas areas. February planning under external pressure for a May vote alongside presidential elections produced no announcements or framework agreement. Over 50 Ukrainian civil society groups oppose endorsing any Russia-linked deal, and a March poll indicated only conditional public backing without a scheduled vote. These barriers sustain trader expectations that no referendum will occur by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$14,728Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent stalled bilateral negotiations and the collapse of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire on May 9-11, 2026, amid mutual violation claims and renewed exchanges of fire have sharply reduced prospects for a Ukrainian peace referendum before 2027. President Zelenskyy has reiterated that any deal requires a prior ceasefire plus security guarantees, with elections or a referendum possible only afterward, while Russia continues to demand territorial concessions including remaining Donbas areas. February planning under external pressure for a May vote alongside presidential elections produced no announcements or framework agreement. Over 50 Ukrainian civil society groups oppose endorsing any Russia-linked deal, and a March poll indicated only conditional public backing without a scheduled vote. These barriers sustain trader expectations that no referendum will occur by the end of 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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