Persistent deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations over territorial concessions and security guarantees continues to drive trader consensus against a peace referendum passing before 2027. US-brokered talks, including February 2026 Geneva sessions and later proposals, produced no breakthroughs on core issues, with both sides rejecting plans involving major land transfers that Ukrainian officials have indicated would require voter approval. Stalled diplomacy amid the Iran conflict, Russia's refusal of unconditional ceasefires, and Ukrainian public resistance to ceding regions further reduce prospects for the legislative or electoral conditions needed for such a vote. A late-2026 ceasefire enabling rapid ratification remains possible but would require unprecedented alignment among Kyiv, Moscow, and Washington.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРеферендум о мире в Украине прошел до 2027 года?
Референдум о мире в Украине прошел до 2027 года?
Да
5% вероятность
$63,449 Объем
$63,449 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
5% вероятность
$63,449 Объем
$63,449 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations over territorial concessions and security guarantees continues to drive trader consensus against a peace referendum passing before 2027. US-brokered talks, including February 2026 Geneva sessions and later proposals, produced no breakthroughs on core issues, with both sides rejecting plans involving major land transfers that Ukrainian officials have indicated would require voter approval. Stalled diplomacy amid the Iran conflict, Russia's refusal of unconditional ceasefires, and Ukrainian public resistance to ceding regions further reduce prospects for the legislative or electoral conditions needed for such a vote. A late-2026 ceasefire enabling rapid ratification remains possible but would require unprecedented alignment among Kyiv, Moscow, and Washington.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Объем
$63,449Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations over territorial concessions and security guarantees continues to drive trader consensus against a peace referendum passing before 2027. US-brokered talks, including February 2026 Geneva sessions and later proposals, produced no breakthroughs on core issues, with both sides rejecting plans involving major land transfers that Ukrainian officials have indicated would require voter approval. Stalled diplomacy amid the Iran conflict, Russia's refusal of unconditional ceasefires, and Ukrainian public resistance to ceding regions further reduce prospects for the legislative or electoral conditions needed for such a vote. A late-2026 ceasefire enabling rapid ratification remains possible but would require unprecedented alignment among Kyiv, Moscow, and Washington.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$63,449Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations over territorial concessions and security guarantees continues to drive trader consensus against a peace referendum passing before 2027. US-brokered talks, including February 2026 Geneva sessions and later proposals, produced no breakthroughs on core issues, with both sides rejecting plans involving major land transfers that Ukrainian officials have indicated would require voter approval. Stalled diplomacy amid the Iran conflict, Russia's refusal of unconditional ceasefires, and Ukrainian public resistance to ceding regions further reduce prospects for the legislative or electoral conditions needed for such a vote. A late-2026 ceasefire enabling rapid ratification remains possible but would require unprecedented alignment among Kyiv, Moscow, and Washington.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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