**European-led planning for a post-ceasefire multinational reassurance force in Ukraine continues through the UK-France "Coalition of the Willing," yet no EU or NATO member has announced an immediate deployment of ground troops.** A January 2026 letter of intent signed by Ukraine, France, and the UK outlined a force for training, air and sea security, and deterrence after any peace agreement, with over 25 nations involved in planning and the UK assuming headquarters command in Kyiv by July. As of mid-September 2026, discussions remain conditional on a ceasefire that has not materialized amid ongoing Russian-Ukrainian combat. Russian President Putin explicitly warned on September 14 that such deployments would constitute "war," while recent activity centers on military aid pledges, an anti-ballistic missile coalition, and exercises rather than troop commitments. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers—absence of a diplomatic framework, institutional caution on direct involvement, and Russian red lines—keeping near-term announcement probabilities low despite the established planning architecture.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$461,930 Объем
31 декабря
4%
$461,930 Объем
31 декабря
4%
A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.
Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.
Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**European-led planning for a post-ceasefire multinational reassurance force in Ukraine continues through the UK-France "Coalition of the Willing," yet no EU or NATO member has announced an immediate deployment of ground troops.** A January 2026 letter of intent signed by Ukraine, France, and the UK outlined a force for training, air and sea security, and deterrence after any peace agreement, with over 25 nations involved in planning and the UK assuming headquarters command in Kyiv by July. As of mid-September 2026, discussions remain conditional on a ceasefire that has not materialized amid ongoing Russian-Ukrainian combat. Russian President Putin explicitly warned on September 14 that such deployments would constitute "war," while recent activity centers on military aid pledges, an anti-ballistic missile coalition, and exercises rather than troop commitments. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers—absence of a diplomatic framework, institutional caution on direct involvement, and Russian red lines—keeping near-term announcement probabilities low despite the established planning architecture.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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