**Trader consensus prices "No" at 78.5% on Ukraine agreeing not to join NATO before 2027, reflecting stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks and Kyiv's firm insistence on alliance membership.** Despite President Zelenskyy's December 2025 offer to drop NATO aspirations in Berlin discussions for Western security guarantees, no deal materialized amid ongoing military stalemate and failed Geneva trilateral meetings in February 2026. Ukraine reaffirmed its NATO path on December 24, 2025, rejecting renunciation demands, while NATO leaders reiterated long-term support without accession timelines. Recent April 2026 Germany-Ukraine strategic partnership emphasized alliance commitments, underscoring barriers to any pre-2027 pledge as negotiations remain frozen and Russian escalation persists.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$99,498 Объем
$99,498 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$99,498 Объем
$99,498 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.**Trader consensus prices "No" at 78.5% on Ukraine agreeing not to join NATO before 2027, reflecting stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks and Kyiv's firm insistence on alliance membership.** Despite President Zelenskyy's December 2025 offer to drop NATO aspirations in Berlin discussions for Western security guarantees, no deal materialized amid ongoing military stalemate and failed Geneva trilateral meetings in February 2026. Ukraine reaffirmed its NATO path on December 24, 2025, rejecting renunciation demands, while NATO leaders reiterated long-term support without accession timelines. Recent April 2026 Germany-Ukraine strategic partnership emphasized alliance commitments, underscoring barriers to any pre-2027 pledge as negotiations remain frozen and Russian escalation persists.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ET
Объем
$99,498Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.**Trader consensus prices "No" at 78.5% on Ukraine agreeing not to join NATO before 2027, reflecting stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks and Kyiv's firm insistence on alliance membership.** Despite President Zelenskyy's December 2025 offer to drop NATO aspirations in Berlin discussions for Western security guarantees, no deal materialized amid ongoing military stalemate and failed Geneva trilateral meetings in February 2026. Ukraine reaffirmed its NATO path on December 24, 2025, rejecting renunciation demands, while NATO leaders reiterated long-term support without accession timelines. Recent April 2026 Germany-Ukraine strategic partnership emphasized alliance commitments, underscoring barriers to any pre-2027 pledge as negotiations remain frozen and Russian escalation persists.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
Объем
$99,498Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus prices "No" at 78.5% on Ukraine agreeing not to join NATO before 2027, reflecting stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks and Kyiv's firm insistence on alliance membership.** Despite President Zelenskyy's December 2025 offer to drop NATO aspirations in Berlin discussions for Western security guarantees, no deal materialized amid ongoing military stalemate and failed Geneva trilateral meetings in February 2026. Ukraine reaffirmed its NATO path on December 24, 2025, rejecting renunciation demands, while NATO leaders reiterated long-term support without accession timelines. Recent April 2026 Germany-Ukraine strategic partnership emphasized alliance commitments, underscoring barriers to any pre-2027 pledge as negotiations remain frozen and Russian escalation persists.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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