The closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for OpenAI and several rivals underscore intense competition in AI agent development, where large language models demonstrate advanced tool use, multi-step reasoning, and autonomous task completion. OpenAI maintains a leading edge through iterative GPT releases and ecosystem integrations, while Anthropic, Google, and Meta leverage specialized training for safer, more reliable agent behaviors. Chinese labs including Alibaba, DeepSeek, and Moonshot gain traction via rapid iteration and cost-efficient scaling. Key swing factors include upcoming benchmark results on agent-specific evaluations, new model launches with enhanced planning capabilities, and regulatory scrutiny over AI safety that could shift developer priorities before November resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВторая лучшая лаборатория ИИ-агентов в конце ноября?
Вторая лучшая лаборатория ИИ-агентов в конце ноября?
OpenAI 50%
Anthropic 18%
DeepSeek 10.4%
Microsoft 9.7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
OpenAI
50%
Anthropic
21%
DeepSeek
10%
Microsoft
10%
Moonshot
8%
7%
Meta
4%
Alibaba
4%
SpaceXAI
4%
Amazon
4%
Mistral
4%
Z.ai
4%
Xiaomi
3%
ByteDance
3%
Meituan
3%
Nvidia
3%
Baidu
1%
MiniMax
1%
Tencent
1%
OpenAI 50%
Anthropic 18%
DeepSeek 10.4%
Microsoft 9.7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
OpenAI
$297 Объем
50%
Anthropic
$533 Объем
21%
DeepSeek
$146 Объем
10%
Microsoft
$146 Объем
10%
Moonshot
$462 Объем
8%
$454 Объем
7%
Meta
$158 Объем
4%
Alibaba
$146 Объем
4%
SpaceXAI
$176 Объем
4%
Amazon
$160 Объем
4%
Mistral
$146 Объем
4%
Z.ai
$146 Объем
4%
Xiaomi
$136 Объем
3%
ByteDance
$146 Объем
3%
Meituan
$166 Объем
3%
Nvidia
$262 Объем
3%
Baidu
$364 Объем
1%
MiniMax
$453 Объем
1%
Tencent
$146 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for OpenAI and several rivals underscore intense competition in AI agent development, where large language models demonstrate advanced tool use, multi-step reasoning, and autonomous task completion. OpenAI maintains a leading edge through iterative GPT releases and ecosystem integrations, while Anthropic, Google, and Meta leverage specialized training for safer, more reliable agent behaviors. Chinese labs including Alibaba, DeepSeek, and Moonshot gain traction via rapid iteration and cost-efficient scaling. Key swing factors include upcoming benchmark results on agent-specific evaluations, new model launches with enhanced planning capabilities, and regulatory scrutiny over AI safety that could shift developer priorities before November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Объем
$4,638Дата окончания
1 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for OpenAI and several rivals underscore intense competition in AI agent development, where large language models demonstrate advanced tool use, multi-step reasoning, and autonomous task completion. OpenAI maintains a leading edge through iterative GPT releases and ecosystem integrations, while Anthropic, Google, and Meta leverage specialized training for safer, more reliable agent behaviors. Chinese labs including Alibaba, DeepSeek, and Moonshot gain traction via rapid iteration and cost-efficient scaling. Key swing factors include upcoming benchmark results on agent-specific evaluations, new model launches with enhanced planning capabilities, and regulatory scrutiny over AI safety that could shift developer priorities before November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$4,638Дата окончания
1 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 8:03 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for OpenAI and several rivals underscore intense competition in AI agent development, where large language models demonstrate advanced tool use, multi-step reasoning, and autonomous task completion. OpenAI maintains a leading edge through iterative GPT releases and ecosystem integrations, while Anthropic, Google, and Meta leverage specialized training for safer, more reliable agent behaviors. Chinese labs including Alibaba, DeepSeek, and Moonshot gain traction via rapid iteration and cost-efficient scaling. Key swing factors include upcoming benchmark results on agent-specific evaluations, new model launches with enhanced planning capabilities, and regulatory scrutiny over AI safety that could shift developer priorities before November resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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