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Экономика·ЮАР

Решение Южноафриканского резервного банка в мае?

icon for Решение Южноафриканского резервного банка в мае?
Экономика·ЮАР

Решение Южноафриканского резервного банка в мае?

мая 28

мая 28

Повышение 86.9%

Без изменений 11%

Снижение 1.4%

Polymarket

$10,537 Объем

Повышение 86.9%

Без изменений 11%

Снижение 1.4%

Polymarket

$10,537 Объем

Снижение

$2,145 Объем

1%

Без изменений

$3,955 Объем

11%

Повышение

$4,436 Объем

87%

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent upside risks to South Africa’s inflation outlook, driven by elevated global energy prices from the Middle East conflict that began in February 2026, have shifted trader expectations toward a 25-basis-point hike in the South African Reserve Bank’s policy rate at the May 28 meeting. Headline inflation, which stood at 3.0% in February, is now projected to rise toward 4% in the second quarter as fuel costs exceed 18%, prompting analysts at Goldman Sachs and BNP Paribas to revise their forecasts upward. Forward-rate agreements currently price in this tightening, consistent with the 86.9% implied probability for an increase, while the MPC’s March statement signaled a more restrictive stance and delayed earlier cut expectations. The outcome remains data-dependent, with evidence of second-round effects in core inflation serving as the primary swing factor.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Объем
$10,537
Дата окончания
28 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent upside risks to South Africa’s inflation outlook, driven by elevated global energy prices from the Middle East conflict that began in February 2026, have shifted trader expectations toward a 25-basis-point hike in the South African Reserve Bank’s policy rate at the May 28 meeting. Headline inflation, which stood at 3.0% in February, is now projected to rise toward 4% in the second quarter as fuel costs exceed 18%, prompting analysts at Goldman Sachs and BNP Paribas to revise their forecasts upward. Forward-rate agreements currently price in this tightening, consistent with the 86.9% implied probability for an increase, while the MPC’s March statement signaled a more restrictive stance and delayed earlier cut expectations. The outcome remains data-dependent, with evidence of second-round effects in core inflation serving as the primary swing factor.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Объем
$10,537
Дата окончания
28 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Решение Южноафриканского резервного банка в мае?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Повышение» с 87%, за ним следует «Без изменений» с 11%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 87¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 87%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Решение Южноафриканского резервного банка в мае?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $10.5K с момента запуска рынка Jan 31, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Решение Южноафриканского резервного банка в мае?», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Решение Южноафриканского резервного банка в мае?» — «Повышение» с 87%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 87%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Без изменений» с 11%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Решение Южноафриканского резервного банка в мае?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.