SpaceX’s post-June 2026 IPO performance, with shares initially surging above a $2 trillion market cap before settling near $1.65 trillion as of early August, anchors trader sentiment for its end-of-August valuation. Revenue estimates around $35–40 billion for 2026 support elevated multiples, yet persistent net losses, high capital intensity from Starlink and Starship, and recent analyst targets clustering near or below current levels introduce downside pressure. With outcomes from sub-$1 trillion through $2.25 trillion+ trading in a narrow band, implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over near-term share-price volatility following the Aug. 4 earnings release and any lock-up or macro-driven flows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1.00-$1.25T 50%
$1.50-$1.75T 50%
$1.75-$2.00T 50%
$2.00-$2.25T 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
<$1.00T
50%
$1.00-$1.25T
50%
$1.25-$1.50T
50%
$1.50-$1.75T
50%
$1.75-$2.00T
50%
$2.00-$2.25T
50%
$2.25T+
50%
$1.00-$1.25T 50%
$1.50-$1.75T 50%
$1.75-$2.00T 50%
$2.00-$2.25T 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
<$1.00T
$0 Объем
50%
$1.00-$1.25T
$0 Объем
50%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 Объем
50%
$1.50-$1.75T
$0 Объем
50%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 Объем
50%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 Объем
50%
$2.25T+
$0 Объем
50%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX’s post-June 2026 IPO performance, with shares initially surging above a $2 trillion market cap before settling near $1.65 trillion as of early August, anchors trader sentiment for its end-of-August valuation. Revenue estimates around $35–40 billion for 2026 support elevated multiples, yet persistent net losses, high capital intensity from Starlink and Starship, and recent analyst targets clustering near or below current levels introduce downside pressure. With outcomes from sub-$1 trillion through $2.25 trillion+ trading in a narrow band, implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over near-term share-price volatility following the Aug. 4 earnings release and any lock-up or macro-driven flows.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX’s post-June 2026 IPO performance, with shares initially surging above a $2 trillion market cap before settling near $1.65 trillion as of early August, anchors trader sentiment for its end-of-August valuation. Revenue estimates around $35–40 billion for 2026 support elevated multiples, yet persistent net losses, high capital intensity from Starlink and Starship, and recent analyst targets clustering near or below current levels introduce downside pressure. With outcomes from sub-$1 trillion through $2.25 trillion+ trading in a narrow band, implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over near-term share-price volatility following the Aug. 4 earnings release and any lock-up or macro-driven flows.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s post-June 2026 IPO performance, with shares initially surging above a $2 trillion market cap before settling near $1.65 trillion as of early August, anchors trader sentiment for its end-of-August valuation. Revenue estimates around $35–40 billion for 2026 support elevated multiples, yet persistent net losses, high capital intensity from Starlink and Starship, and recent analyst targets clustering near or below current levels introduce downside pressure. With outcomes from sub-$1 trillion through $2.25 trillion+ trading in a narrow band, implied probabilities reflect uncertainty over near-term share-price volatility following the Aug. 4 earnings release and any lock-up or macro-driven flows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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