**Alphabet's market capitalization currently trades near $4.2–4.3 trillion, with shares around $344–350 as of mid-to-late September 2026.** This positioning underpins the 74.8% market-implied probability for the $4.00–4.50T bucket at month-end, reflecting limited expected volatility over the remaining days. Strong Q2 2026 results—revenue up 24% year-over-year to $119.8 billion with Google Cloud surging 82%—continue to support sentiment through AI-driven demand, though elevated full-year CapEx guidance of $195–205 billion has tempered near-term margin expansion. A federal court ruling favoring ad-tech reforms over structural breakup provided additional relief. With the next earnings release scheduled for late October and no major macroeconomic data releases imminent, trader consensus prices in range-bound stability around current levels rather than a decisive move higher or lower.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$4.00-$4.50T 83.9%
$4.50-$5.00T 15%
$3.50-$4.00T 3.4%
$5.00-$5.50T 3.2%
$14,482 Объем
$14,482 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
<$3.50T
2%
$3.50-$4.00T
3%
$4.00-$4.50T
84%
$4.50-$5.00T
15%
$5.00-$5.50T
3%
$5.50-$6.00T
<1%
$6.00T+
1%
$4.00-$4.50T 83.9%
$4.50-$5.00T 15%
$3.50-$4.00T 3.4%
$5.00-$5.50T 3.2%
$14,482 Объем
$14,482 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
<$3.50T
$833 Объем
2%
$3.50-$4.00T
$4,414 Объем
3%
$4.00-$4.50T
$1,877 Объем
84%
$4.50-$5.00T
$4,561 Объем
15%
$5.00-$5.50T
$1,366 Объем
3%
$5.50-$6.00T
$741 Объем
<1%
$6.00T+
$690 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.**Alphabet's market capitalization currently trades near $4.2–4.3 trillion, with shares around $344–350 as of mid-to-late September 2026.** This positioning underpins the 74.8% market-implied probability for the $4.00–4.50T bucket at month-end, reflecting limited expected volatility over the remaining days. Strong Q2 2026 results—revenue up 24% year-over-year to $119.8 billion with Google Cloud surging 82%—continue to support sentiment through AI-driven demand, though elevated full-year CapEx guidance of $195–205 billion has tempered near-term margin expansion. A federal court ruling favoring ad-tech reforms over structural breakup provided additional relief. With the next earnings release scheduled for late October and no major macroeconomic data releases imminent, trader consensus prices in range-bound stability around current levels rather than a decisive move higher or lower.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Объем
$14,482Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.**Alphabet's market capitalization currently trades near $4.2–4.3 trillion, with shares around $344–350 as of mid-to-late September 2026.** This positioning underpins the 74.8% market-implied probability for the $4.00–4.50T bucket at month-end, reflecting limited expected volatility over the remaining days. Strong Q2 2026 results—revenue up 24% year-over-year to $119.8 billion with Google Cloud surging 82%—continue to support sentiment through AI-driven demand, though elevated full-year CapEx guidance of $195–205 billion has tempered near-term margin expansion. A federal court ruling favoring ad-tech reforms over structural breakup provided additional relief. With the next earnings release scheduled for late October and no major macroeconomic data releases imminent, trader consensus prices in range-bound stability around current levels rather than a decisive move higher or lower.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Объем
$14,482Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Alphabet's market capitalization currently trades near $4.2–4.3 trillion, with shares around $344–350 as of mid-to-late September 2026.** This positioning underpins the 74.8% market-implied probability for the $4.00–4.50T bucket at month-end, reflecting limited expected volatility over the remaining days. Strong Q2 2026 results—revenue up 24% year-over-year to $119.8 billion with Google Cloud surging 82%—continue to support sentiment through AI-driven demand, though elevated full-year CapEx guidance of $195–205 billion has tempered near-term margin expansion. A federal court ruling favoring ad-tech reforms over structural breakup provided additional relief. With the next earnings release scheduled for late October and no major macroeconomic data releases imminent, trader consensus prices in range-bound stability around current levels rather than a decisive move higher or lower.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли рыночная капитализация Alphabet находиться в диапазоне от 4,00 до 4,50 триллионов долларов на конец октября 2026 года?
42%
Да
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?
30%
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?
57%
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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