Alphabet’s market capitalization, currently near $4.13–4.2 trillion at share prices around $338–340, reflects robust Q2 2026 results—24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and Google Cloud revenue surging 82% to $24.8 billion—tempered by elevated capital expenditures guidance of $195–205 billion and the first negative quarterly free cash flow. The stock’s roughly 15% decline from May peaks, erasing hundreds of billions in value, stems from AI talent departures, questions over Gemini’s competitive edge, and heavy infrastructure spending pressuring near-term margins. With the next earnings release scheduled for late October, trader-implied probabilities cluster in the $4.00–4.50 trillion range amid ongoing regulatory scrutiny in Europe and comparisons to higher-multiple peers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено5,00–5,50 трлн долл. 27%
$4,50–$5,00 трлн 26%
< $3,50 трлн 25%
$3,50–$4,00 трлн 25%
< $3,50 трлн
25%
$3,50–$4,00 трлн
25%
$4,00–$4,50 трлн
39%
$4,50–$5,00 трлн
26%
5,00–5,50 трлн долл.
27%
$5,50–$6,00 трлн
24%
$6,00 трлн+
25%
5,00–5,50 трлн долл. 27%
$4,50–$5,00 трлн 26%
< $3,50 трлн 25%
$3,50–$4,00 трлн 25%
< $3,50 трлн
25%
$3,50–$4,00 трлн
25%
$4,00–$4,50 трлн
39%
$4,50–$5,00 трлн
26%
5,00–5,50 трлн долл.
27%
$5,50–$6,00 трлн
24%
$6,00 трлн+
25%
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 7:14 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Alphabet’s market capitalization, currently near $4.13–4.2 trillion at share prices around $338–340, reflects robust Q2 2026 results—24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and Google Cloud revenue surging 82% to $24.8 billion—tempered by elevated capital expenditures guidance of $195–205 billion and the first negative quarterly free cash flow. The stock’s roughly 15% decline from May peaks, erasing hundreds of billions in value, stems from AI talent departures, questions over Gemini’s competitive edge, and heavy infrastructure spending pressuring near-term margins. With the next earnings release scheduled for late October, trader-implied probabilities cluster in the $4.00–4.50 trillion range amid ongoing regulatory scrutiny in Europe and comparisons to higher-multiple peers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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