SpaceX shares have traded in a tight range near $152–155 following the June IPO, with the market-implied distribution for the week of September 21 centered on $150–160 bins that together exceed 65% probability. Primary near-term drivers include the delayed Starship orbital flight now targeted for September 28, a fresh $946 million NASA crewed-mission award, and the September 24 release of roughly 328 million shares. Elevated multiples near 65 times trailing sales, successive lock-up expirations, and mixed retail flows continue to weigh on sentiment, while Morgan Stanley’s $300 price target and rapid Starlink revenue growth support the higher bins. Traders are effectively pricing limited net movement absent a decisive Starship outcome or further contract wins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$150-$155 23%
$155-$160 23%
$145–$150 20%
$140–$145 12%
< $130
9%
$130-$135
11%
$135-$140
7%
$140–$145
12%
$145–$150
20%
$150-$155
23%
$155-$160
23%
$160-$165
11%
$165-$170
11%
$170–$175
11%
>$175
11%
$150-$155 23%
$155-$160 23%
$145–$150 20%
$140–$145 12%
< $130
9%
$130-$135
11%
$135-$140
7%
$140–$145
12%
$145–$150
20%
$150-$155
23%
$155-$160
23%
$160-$165
11%
$165-$170
11%
$170–$175
11%
>$175
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Источник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX shares have traded in a tight range near $152–155 following the June IPO, with the market-implied distribution for the week of September 21 centered on $150–160 bins that together exceed 65% probability. Primary near-term drivers include the delayed Starship orbital flight now targeted for September 28, a fresh $946 million NASA crewed-mission award, and the September 24 release of roughly 328 million shares. Elevated multiples near 65 times trailing sales, successive lock-up expirations, and mixed retail flows continue to weigh on sentiment, while Morgan Stanley’s $300 price target and rapid Starlink revenue growth support the higher bins. Traders are effectively pricing limited net movement absent a decisive Starship outcome or further contract wins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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