Spider-Man: Brand New Day's steep multi-week declines and reduced theater count have locked in trader expectations for a sub-$9 million seventh weekend. After a record $360 million domestic opening and sustained top-chart dominance through six frames, the Tom Holland-Zendaya tentpole fell to roughly $18 million in its most recent outing amid typical late-run attrition and fresh competition from titles like Practical Magic 2. With screens already trimmed and momentum clearly fading after Labor Day, the 95.9% implied probability reflects consistent tracking data and historical patterns for superhero holdovers at this stage. An upset above $9 million would require an unusually strong word-of-mouth rebound or softer-than-anticipated new releases to slow the drop.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день» 7-я касса выходного дня
«Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день» 7-я касса выходного дня
<9м 97.2%
9-10 млн 3.5%
10-11 млн 1.8%
11-12 млн <1%
$39,134 Объем
$39,134 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
<9м
97%
9-10 млн
3%
10-11 млн
2%
11-12 млн
1%
12 млн+
<1%
<9м 97.2%
9-10 млн 3.5%
10-11 млн 1.8%
11-12 млн <1%
$39,134 Объем
$39,134 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
<9м
$21,748 Объем
97%
9-10 млн
$8,705 Объем
3%
10-11 млн
$6,733 Объем
2%
11-12 млн
$1,438 Объем
1%
12 млн+
$510 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's steep multi-week declines and reduced theater count have locked in trader expectations for a sub-$9 million seventh weekend. After a record $360 million domestic opening and sustained top-chart dominance through six frames, the Tom Holland-Zendaya tentpole fell to roughly $18 million in its most recent outing amid typical late-run attrition and fresh competition from titles like Practical Magic 2. With screens already trimmed and momentum clearly fading after Labor Day, the 95.9% implied probability reflects consistent tracking data and historical patterns for superhero holdovers at this stage. An upset above $9 million would require an unusually strong word-of-mouth rebound or softer-than-anticipated new releases to slow the drop.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
Объем
$39,134Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's steep multi-week declines and reduced theater count have locked in trader expectations for a sub-$9 million seventh weekend. After a record $360 million domestic opening and sustained top-chart dominance through six frames, the Tom Holland-Zendaya tentpole fell to roughly $18 million in its most recent outing amid typical late-run attrition and fresh competition from titles like Practical Magic 2. With screens already trimmed and momentum clearly fading after Labor Day, the 95.9% implied probability reflects consistent tracking data and historical patterns for superhero holdovers at this stage. An upset above $9 million would require an unusually strong word-of-mouth rebound or softer-than-anticipated new releases to slow the drop.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$39,134Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's steep multi-week declines and reduced theater count have locked in trader expectations for a sub-$9 million seventh weekend. After a record $360 million domestic opening and sustained top-chart dominance through six frames, the Tom Holland-Zendaya tentpole fell to roughly $18 million in its most recent outing amid typical late-run attrition and fresh competition from titles like Practical Magic 2. With screens already trimmed and momentum clearly fading after Labor Day, the 95.9% implied probability reflects consistent tracking data and historical patterns for superhero holdovers at this stage. An upset above $9 million would require an unusually strong word-of-mouth rebound or softer-than-anticipated new releases to slow the drop.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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