The Swiss National Bank’s policy rate at 0% faces minimal pressure for change at its September 24 meeting, as subdued inflation and franc strength keep medium-term price pressures anchored within the 0-2% target range. August CPI rose to 0.8% year-over-year, driven by energy costs, yet core measures remain near 0.4% and forecasts for 2026-2027 hover around 0.6%. Recent surveys of bankers and economists show near-unanimous expectations for no adjustment through year-end, aligning with the 90% market-implied probability of unchanged rates. Modest probabilities attached to 25 basis point moves reflect limited scope for surprises absent sharper inflation spikes or franc depreciation. The SNB has reiterated readiness for FX intervention if needed, reinforcing the current stance amid stable growth projections near 1% for 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБез изменений 90%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 3.7%
Снижение на 25 б.п. 2.3%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п. 1.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
Повышение на 50+ базисных пунктов
2%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
4%
Без изменений
90%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
2%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
2%
Без изменений 90%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 3.7%
Снижение на 25 б.п. 2.3%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п. 1.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
Повышение на 50+ базисных пунктов
$441 Объем
2%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
$713 Объем
4%
Без изменений
$3,545 Объем
90%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
$361 Объем
2%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
$381 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Swiss National Bank’s policy rate at 0% faces minimal pressure for change at its September 24 meeting, as subdued inflation and franc strength keep medium-term price pressures anchored within the 0-2% target range. August CPI rose to 0.8% year-over-year, driven by energy costs, yet core measures remain near 0.4% and forecasts for 2026-2027 hover around 0.6%. Recent surveys of bankers and economists show near-unanimous expectations for no adjustment through year-end, aligning with the 90% market-implied probability of unchanged rates. Modest probabilities attached to 25 basis point moves reflect limited scope for surprises absent sharper inflation spikes or franc depreciation. The SNB has reiterated readiness for FX intervention if needed, reinforcing the current stance amid stable growth projections near 1% for 2026.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ET
Объем
$5,441Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Swiss National Bank’s policy rate at 0% faces minimal pressure for change at its September 24 meeting, as subdued inflation and franc strength keep medium-term price pressures anchored within the 0-2% target range. August CPI rose to 0.8% year-over-year, driven by energy costs, yet core measures remain near 0.4% and forecasts for 2026-2027 hover around 0.6%. Recent surveys of bankers and economists show near-unanimous expectations for no adjustment through year-end, aligning with the 90% market-implied probability of unchanged rates. Modest probabilities attached to 25 basis point moves reflect limited scope for surprises absent sharper inflation spikes or franc depreciation. The SNB has reiterated readiness for FX intervention if needed, reinforcing the current stance amid stable growth projections near 1% for 2026.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Объем
$5,441Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Swiss National Bank’s policy rate at 0% faces minimal pressure for change at its September 24 meeting, as subdued inflation and franc strength keep medium-term price pressures anchored within the 0-2% target range. August CPI rose to 0.8% year-over-year, driven by energy costs, yet core measures remain near 0.4% and forecasts for 2026-2027 hover around 0.6%. Recent surveys of bankers and economists show near-unanimous expectations for no adjustment through year-end, aligning with the 90% market-implied probability of unchanged rates. Modest probabilities attached to 25 basis point moves reflect limited scope for surprises absent sharper inflation spikes or franc depreciation. The SNB has reiterated readiness for FX intervention if needed, reinforcing the current stance amid stable growth projections near 1% for 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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